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If this is correct, this trend will lead to the destruction of fertile [[arable land]], as this land is progressively re-zoned for speculative new residential development. Rowbotham also predicts that the global supply of fertile [[arable land]] will decline, leading to a broad decline in the quality and nutritional value of agricultural produce and, eventually, a dramatic increase in the prices of many "soft" commodities - which could then lead to actual food shortages for poorer segments of the world population.<ref name="death"/><ref>[http://www.wsws.org/articles/2007/dec2007/food-d22.shtml Naomi Spencer, World Socialist Website, "Severe food shortages, price spikes threaten world population", 22 December 2007]</ref>  
If this is correct, this trend will lead to the destruction of fertile [[arable land]], as this land is progressively re-zoned for speculative new residential development. Rowbotham also predicts that the global supply of fertile [[arable land]] will decline, leading to a broad decline in the quality and nutritional value of agricultural produce and, eventually, a dramatic increase in the prices of many "soft" commodities - which could then lead to actual food shortages for poorer segments of the world population.<ref name="death"/><ref>[http://www.wsws.org/articles/2007/dec2007/food-d22.shtml Naomi Spencer, World Socialist Website, "Severe food shortages, price spikes threaten world population", 22 December 2007]</ref>  


If for any reason the monetary system broke down, urban populations (nominally "rich" but poor in terms of direct access to [[food supply]]) could find basic foodstuffs increasingly expensive, ultimately resulting in food security becoming a major public policy issue.<ref name="death"/><ref>[http://www.wsws.org/articles/2007/dec2007/food-d22.shtml Severe food shortages, price spikes threaten world population]</ref>   
If for any reason the monetary system broke down, urban populations (nominally "rich" but poor in terms of direct access to [[food supply]]) could find basic foodstuffs increasingly expensive, ultimately resulting in food security becoming a major public policy issue.<ref name="death"/><ref>[http://www.wsws.org/articles/2007/dec2007/food-d22.shtml Severe food shortages, price spikes threaten world population]</ref><ref>[http://www.nytimes.com/2010/12/18/business/global/18yuan.html?hpw Inflation in China]</ref>   


===Effects on economic health===
===Effects on economic health===

Revision as of 13:31, 17 December 2010

Main article: Fractional-reserve banking
This article uses content from the Wikipedia article on Criticism of fractional reserve banking under the terms of the CC-by-SA 3.0 license.

Criticisms of fractional reserve banking have been put forward from a variety of perspectives. Critics have included economists such as Irving Fisher,[1] and Milton Friedman.[2][3] Within the economics profession, most criticisms are from the Austrian School.[4][5][6] There are also critics from outside the economics profession who advocate monetary reform.[7][8]

Terminology

Critics of fractional reserve banking and the related fiat paper monetary system may refer to it by the term debt-based monetary system,[9][10] or credit-based monetary system.[11][12][13]

The term, "debt-based monetary system," and related terms, such as "debt money" are not used by conventional economists or academic mainstream economists. Mainstream economists often refer to "debt money" simply as credit, and distinguish clearly between types of money once it is created.[14] The subject of debt-based money (as distinct from traditional monetary policy) is absent from most reputable established mainstream academic economic publications.[15]

Typical criticisms

Robert H. Hemphill, credit manager of the Federal Reserve in Atlanta, stated in 1939:[16]

If all the bank loans were paid, no one would have a bank deposit and there would not be a dollar of coin or currency in circulation. This is a staggering thought. Someone has to borrow every dollar we have in circulation, cash or credit. If the banks create ample synthetic money we are prosperous; if not, we starve. When one gets a complete grasp of the picture the tragic absurdity of our hopeless position is almost incredible, but there it is. It (the banking problem) is the most important subject intelligent persons can investigate and reflect upon. It is so important that our present civilization may collapse unless it becomes widely understood and the defects remedied very soon.

Ron Paul states in his book End the Fed:[17]

American presidents actually worked to implement and defend the gold standard, which put a brake on the ability of the largest banks to expand credit without limit. The gold standard worked like a regulator in this way. Ultimately, banks had to function like every other business. They could expand and make risky loans up to a point, but when faced with bankruptcy, they had nowhere they could turn. They would have to contract loans and deal with extreme financial pressures. Risk bearing is a wonderful mechanism for regulating human decision making. This created a culture of lending discipline.

In the jargon of the day, the system lacked "elasticity." That's another way of saying that banks couldn't expand money and credit as much as they wanted. They couldn't inflate without limit and count on a centralized institution to bail them out...

The banking industry has always had trouble with the idea of a free market that provides opportunities for both profits and losses. The first part, the industry likes. The second part is another issue. That is the reason for the constant drive in American history towards the centralization of money and banking, a trend that not only benefits the largest banks with the most to lose from a sound money system, but also the government, which is able to use an elastic system as an alternative form of revenue support. The coalition of government and big bankers provides the essential backbone of support for the centralization of money and credit...

Consider the Soviet case: to my knowledge, no business ever went under with the Soviet system but society in general grew ever poorer. Think of that Soviet system applied to the banking industry and you have the Fed.

Certain monetary reformers claim that a fractional-reserve based banking system is inherently destructive and inevitably generates debasement of the currency, extreme inequality or periodic crises.[18][19][20][21][22][23][24][25][26][27] Vladimir Z. Nuri has analyzed fractional reserve banking and considers it a form of economic parasitism.[28] This view is not accepted by mainstream economists.[29]

Critics of fractional reserve banking frequently argue that since money creation requires loans from the banking system, people are required to go further into debt in order for any new money to be created. They theorize that this eventually causes credit cycles (or business cycles) and necessarily debases the means of exchange.

Many critics find it problematic that banks "create money out of nothing" and consider this akin to counterfeiting and/or embezzlement.[30][31]

Other critics link the alleged negative effects of fractional reserve banking with central banking and a government-enforced "paper" or fiat currency, which they claim allows the practice of fractional reserve banking to continue without a "natural" limitation on the growth of the money supply, thereby causing inherently unsustainable "bubbles" in asset and capital markets, which are vulnerable to Ponzi-like speculation by highly leveraged hedge funds and other bank agents.[32][33][21][22][23][34][35][36][27]

Some critics (particularly those from the Austrian School) support a "full reserve" banking system and criticize fractional reserve banking as inherently fraudulent. Murray Rothbard held this view very strongly throughout his life.[37]

On considering economic thinkers outside of the mainstream, it should be noted that views on the topic of fractional reserve banking vary greatly. Even within such groups as the Austrian school, at least one thinker has argued that full-reserve banking would impose similar costs of price adjustments in reaction to growth (through a reduction in the overall price level) as would inflation, and hence offer no inherent advantages over fiat currencies and fractional reserve banking.[38]

Basic debate

Many Austrian economists and monetary reformers focus on the combined use of fiat currency, fractional-reserve banking and central banking as a negative feature of modern monetary systems.[39][40] These commentators use the term "debt-based monetary system" to refer to an economic system where money is created primarily through fractional-reserve banking techniques, using the banking system.[41][42][10] This form of money is called "debt-based" because as a condition of its creation someone must go into debt in order for the money to be created and it must be paid back plus interest at some time in the future.

To some commentators, this implies that as the money supply and the economy grows, the general populace becomes increasingly indebted at the same time due to the idea that debt grows in parallel with money supply growth, and increasing interest payments (from either taxpayers or indebted consumers) are needed to pay bondholders as the money supply grows.[22][27][43]

One argument posits that since debt and the interest on the debt can only be paid in the same form of money, the total debt (principal plus interest) can never be paid in a debt-based monetary system unless more money is created through the same process. For example: if 100 credits are created and loaned into the economy at 10% per year, at the end of the year 110 credits will be needed to pay the loan and extinguish the debt. However, since the additional 10 credits does not yet exist, it too must be borrowed. To some, this implies that debt must grow exponentially in order for the monetary system to remain solvent.[22][27]

Others argue that there is in fact no mathematical necessity for the stock of money in a debt-based system to grow, as the "turnover" or "flow" or "velocity" of money can increase to allow for compounding interest payments.[44][45][46] However this does imply that some consumers would increasingly have to consume and transact to expand the GDP sufficiently to allow the fixed stock of money to turnover sufficiently to pay for the interest compounding on top of the debt.[47][48][49] This may mean that Ponzi-like dynamics bubble up in "pockets" of the economy with interest payments being allowed in a fixed money economy, but these "pockets" of higher consumption or speculation would pop and die out relatively quickly.[50]

Basic nature of system

The economic, environmental and social effects arising from money creation through fractional-reserve banking has been subject to much heated political debate for well over two centuries.[21][22][27][51]

Critics claim that, in contrast to "debt money" (which is money created in parallel with the issuance of debt or credit), "true" fiat currency is issued by the Treasury of a central government debt-free, as no requirement for its eventual return is made as a condition of its creation.[23][43] Government-issued debt-free fiat currency (such as debt-free notes and coins) can circulate perpetually in the economy as "stable" or even sound money (if backed by gold or silver) and although not as stable as hard currency, government-issued debt-free notes and coins (such as United States Notes and silver certificates) do not have the same effects of debt-based money described below.[52] It should be noted however that fiat currency can be a source of hyperinflation if its production is not controlled, as the government has the potential to issue unlimited amounts of fiat currency - provided it is accepted as "money" by the private banking system.[53] Notes and coins in circulation (being defined as M0) now account for a tiny fraction of the total M3 money supply in all developed, debt-based capitalist economies (M0 generally being less than 10% of the total M2 money supply in most developed economies).[54]

Similarly, gold, silver and other precious metals have in the past been used as money. Because of the difficulty in increasing the supply of precious metals quickly, some monetary reformers believe a return to the gold standard, or a similar system of "hard" or "real" asset-backed currency, is the only way to stabilize the growth of the money supply. These monetary reformers often refer to the gold standard and silver standard as "sound money" or "honest money".[55]

Other economic and political criticisms

In a 2003 statement to the U.S. House of Representatives, Ron Paul stated "if unchecked, the economic and political chaos that comes from currency destruction inevitably leads to tyranny".[56]

Some economic thinkers (primarily members of the Austrian School) and political commentators believe that a debt-based monetary system amounts to a subtle form of monetary "fraud" in that it creates money "costlessly" through the use of fractional-reserve banking techniques.[57]

Though Michael Rowbotham has no formal training in political science or economics, he is an active proponent of monetary reform, and argues that this system of money supply is perverse and inherently "anti-democratic", and creates inflationary exponential growth in the economy which leads to environmentally damaging and unstable over-consumption. Critics such as Rowbotham argue that the indebted are forced to induce new consumers to spend their way into debt so existing loans can be repaid with new debt-created money. Failure to achieve this goal results in foreclosure for those businesses and insolvency in the banking system that leads to economic collapse due to the sudden contraction of the money supply.[22][58]

Mark Anielski as well as some political thinkers such as Rowbotham and some economists (such as Hyman Minsky) argue that this system of money supply has characteristics similar to a pyramid scheme, where the newly indebted are compelled to induce others into debt to pay off their own debts.[59] It is therefore argued by a number of monetary reformers that fractional-reserve banking and the associated exponential growth of money in the economy "forces" the economy towards indebted consumerism.[21]

Rowbotham argues that a major negative side-effect of the debt-based monetary system is its effect on agriculture, claiming that residential development produces one of the greatest continuous injections of debt money into the economy. Therefore, significant super-normal profits can be generated by re-zoning agricultural land and replacing it with low-density housing.[22] If this is correct, this trend will lead to the destruction of fertile arable land, as this land is progressively re-zoned for speculative new residential development. Rowbotham also predicts that the global supply of fertile arable land will decline, leading to a broad decline in the quality and nutritional value of agricultural produce and, eventually, a dramatic increase in the prices of many "soft" commodities - which could then lead to actual food shortages for poorer segments of the world population.[22][60]

If for any reason the monetary system broke down, urban populations (nominally "rich" but poor in terms of direct access to food supply) could find basic foodstuffs increasingly expensive, ultimately resulting in food security becoming a major public policy issue.[22][61][62]

Effects on economic health

According to Michael Rowbotham the expansion of money through debt creates economic bubbles. This concentrates wealth in the hands of private banks as the populace is forced into debt simply to own a home and educate their children.[22] Debt expansion leads to price appreciation of assets through speculation as the financial market becomes riskier. Edward Chancellor compares this type of market to a monetary Ponzi scheme.[63]

The bust phase of this business cycle where "debt-based" money growth slows or contracts catches newly indebted businesses and consumers who are left out of the growth cycle.[22][58]

Effects on the environment

There are also critics in the left-wing and environmentalist camps who contend fractional reserve banking (by creating a necessity for indefinite economic growth) leads to environmental destruction and depletion of natural resources.[64][65]

Inherent problems with the system

Some monetary reformers predict that there will be an increased incidence of financial crises in the developed world, as economic and population growth inevitably slow and as the success of laissez-faire economic political policies result in a reduction in redistributive tax policies which, combined with the debt-legacy of the welfare state, allows an intense and unsustainable concentration of wealth and political power in the financial services sector.[22]

Some monetary reformers argue that perverse incentives in the financial services industry lead to a collusive relationship between governments and bankers which are economically and socially destablizing in the long run.[66]

Some monetary reformers argue that it is vital that the indebted "victims" who must sink deeper into debt for the system to survive do so voluntarily and willingly and are not made aware of the consequences of purchasing consumables with debt money.[22] Some politicians and others have highlighted the fact that mainstream media organizations appear to downplay or minimize the seriousness of deficit spending by government and debt-sourced spending of all kinds.[67] The associated growth of derivatives during the upward phase of the debt money cycle was referred to as "innovation" in financial markets.[68]

Bankruptcy laws differ to a small degree in different jurisdictions but in all developed economies unpaid debt results in legal penalties, property confiscation on behalf of the creditor and income sequestration. Although in Christian, Jewish and Muslim religious practice there have been traditions of debt relief or laws against usury, in no modern Western jurisdiction are any debts periodically forgiven or cancelled in recognition of the inherent impossibility of repaying debts in circumstances where the debt-based monetary cycle has inevitably resulted in too little new debt money being injected into the money supply to pay for the currently outstanding debts.[69]

On a national level, if the issuance of government bonds becomes unsustainable, sovereign bankruptcy can occur - and has occurred many times in history.[70][71] Sovereign debt crises due to the inability of nations to pay interest on government bonds have occurred frequently and regularly in the third world and less frequently (every 30 years or so) in the first world as a result of high levels of unsustainable public debt - often because private debts are assumed by a corrupt government through large private bank bailouts.[72][73] The Latin American debt crisis is an example of sovereign debt levels becoming unsustainable, resulting in a currency crisis and economic collapse, as interest rates rise precipitously due to the inability of the national government to attract financiers to purchase new government bonds to inject new debt money into the ailing economy.[74]

At such times, it is the responsibility of the IMF to come in as a kind of supranational central bank to mediate between the national government and international financiers. The role of the IMF as central bank to the world has similar responsibilities and risks inherent in central banking which are described below in relation to the role of the Federal Reserve. If the IMF repeatedly intervenes to save financiers from loss when sovereign bankruptcy occurs, this has a tendency to induce moral hazard and can encourage the financing of reckless government spending and borrowing.[75][76][77]

A single currency regime such as the Euro can mask national liquidity or solvency crises, by ensuring that a national currency is not quickly exchangeable for another, thereby restricting the ability of national governments to depreciate their currencies and cutting off the possibility that the real value of government bond interest repayments could decline relative to other currencies.[78][79][80][81][82] This may however increase the risk of bond default where indebted national governments cannot pay back the interest payments in the denominated common currency.[83]

Types of downturns

Main article: Austrian Business Cycle Theory

There are two main kinds of debt money contraction that can cause a collapse in the value of inflated assets.

A "credit squeeze" occurs where new debt money is difficult to access without a high credit rating. At such times marginal borrowers, or those who have borrowed at the end of any debt-induced asset bubble, get "squeezed" out of further borrowing and a contraction in the growth of new debt money occurs, triggering a slow down in the growth of inflated assets. Those assets can then be "harvested" by the private banks through widespread foreclosure or bankruptcy and re-sold to those with the money to buy the distressed assets.[84]

A "credit crunch" occurs where new debt money is not available at any interest rate - even for those with previously acceptable credit ratings - due to widespread insolvency in the banking system. At such times, it is the banking system itself that is insolvent and other financial institutions (including overseas financiers) become reluctant to lend to the domestic banking system, resulting in the domestic banking system being unable to issue loans even to credit worthy borrowers.[85]

At any stage during the downward spiral of a "credit crunch", the central bank in a modern economy can try to save the system from complete economic meltdown by purchasing (either indefinitely or temporarily) the failed debts of the private banks.[86][87][88] However, doing so results in cash being transferred to the private banks in exchange for bad debt, thereby violating the general economic precept to avoid moral hazard and effectively makes liquid the failed lending decisions of the private banks.[89] In the U.S. banking system this is called "opening the Fed discount window", where the Federal Reserve temporarily purchases the failed investment portfolios of distressed private banks in exchange for cash. However, this rescue measure may only delay, rather than avoid, the realization of losses in the banking system, as the central bank cannot "force" new borrowing into the system to inject new debt money into the money supply. Somebody has to be a counterparty to borrow the debt money that is being offered. If all market participants realize a "bubble" has formed in assets markets, there will be few (or no) buyers for new debt money, as no one wants to borrow to buy inflated assets no one else will buy. Money markets can therefore remain illiquid even with intense central bank support.

Furthermore, banks can go bust even with intense central bank support, if the issue is not one of liquidity, but one of solvency.[90][91]

Pushing on a string

Some monetary economists describe the opening of the Fed discount window after the bursting of an asset bubble as "pushing on a piece of string", as this measure does not solve the key problem – creating new credit (or debt money) to keep up the growth in the money supply and maintain the required level of liquidity in credit markets.[92][93] This is because unlimited central bank money and low interest rates allow credit creation, but do not force it into the system. In order for any new debt money to be created, somone has to borrow the excess reserve in order for the money to be injected into the system. If corporations and individuals are already heavily indebted, there are no credit-worthy borrowers to lend to.

To encourage fresh borrowing, central banks generally combine these rescue measures with an interest rate cut to encourage more new borrowing to allow the existing (failed) debts to be liquidated at or close to their original value. When Alan Greenspan repeatedly resorted to this tactic to revive illiquid money markets this became known in the market as the "Greenspan put", as the effect of these repeated reductions in interest rates was similar to a put option in the stockmarket, insuring banks' lending mistakes would be covered up by the Federal Reserve.[94]

When interest rates cannot go any lower (the so-called "zero bound" monetary problem) and people still will not - or cannot - inject themselves with more debt, then the Keynesian solution is to run large public deficits and indebt future generations (who, they hypothesize, are more likely to be able to pay through increased future growth). Keynesian economists such as Paul Krugman argue that governments must take charge of the responsibility of spending more (and taking on more debt) on behalf of the public (who are too fearful to take on more debt themselves) in order to compensate for the immediate and urgent present insufficiency in total private consumption. Paul Krugman is a prominent advocate of the policy of spending trillions of government money to help stimulate the economy, if spending billions does not work.[95][96][97] For economists such as Paul Krugman, if the "more government spending and increase public debt solution" does not work initially, it is a sign that not enough government money has been spent.[98] It is his view that the Japanese recession from 1991/2 could have been cured by the Japanese government going into even more debt than the current net debt to GDP ratio of 110%.[99][100]

Although there is active debate as to whether this policy of indebting future generations by the government spending even more money would actually help the economy,[101] there is no argument that this would undoubtedly help the present group of private bankers, as increased income from the interest payments on new government bond issuance offsets the decline in private sector debt and allows private bankers to survive when otherwise they may face collapse due to the fatal impairment of their balance sheets through private debt write-offs after an unsustainable debt-fuelled bubble bursts.[102][103]

Inequities in system

Aside from the moral hazard issue, the key risk with quantitative easing (and the associated cutting of interest rates to encourage new debt money creation) is that the central bank exposes the financial system to a currency crisis, as the growth in the money supply spirals out of control due to the need to save the banks from themselves.[104][105][106]

For these reasons, a collapse in confidence in the solvency of the banking system is one of the most complex and difficult policy issues any government can face.

In such crises of confidence, a central bank may choose to save the current players in the banking sector by printing money and inflating its way out of the crisis, thereby debasing the value of the domestic currency.[107] This is now called quantitative easing.[108]

This is also referred to by some monetary reformers and economists as "socialism for the rich and capitalism for the poor", as many indebted consumers will still lose their houses and be declared bankrupt regardless whether or not the central bank intervenes to save marginal lenders who have been made insolvent through their mis-timing of the credit cycle.[109][110] Future generations of innocent taxpayers may ultimately finance any bail out of reckless lenders, as the money used to fund any bail out will be funds diverted from the general revenue of the central government.[111]

Some bankers and financial commentators still refer to Walter Bagehot's 1873 commentary on monetary crises, Lombard Street, in an attempt to gain insights into the way in which central bankers should revive illiquid banking systems.[112]

A prime example of the fatal effects of combining aging demographics with reckless bank lending can be found in the case of the Japanese asset price bubble.[113]

Potential societal impact

Some more extreme monetary reformers and conspiracy theorists anticipate the declaration of martial law and the imposition of fascist-style restrictions on civil rights and freedom of speech by the political Establishment to physically protect it from anarchy or military coup when the bubble of debt completely bursts, either through a precipitous currency crisis or debt-created depression.[114] Some conspiracy theorists also anticipate the forced elimination - by any means necessary - of any actual or potential competing currencies that could threaten the viability or legitimacy of the monopoly currency, which could include the compulsory confiscation of all privately-owned gold (gold being the ultimate reserve currency, still used by central banks as a universally accepted medium of exchange for the settlement of international debts).[115][116][117][118][119][120]

There have been many monetary crises throughout history[121] and prior to widespread anarchy or revolution, in the late stages of a financial bubble, there are a number of warning signs of impending chaos caused by a complete breakdown of trust in the debt-based monetary system.[122] Just prior to the complete collapse of the pyramid scheme of public and private debt, the economic system tends to feed on itself, and in the past, where debt-created depressions or periods of hyperinflation have occurred in Europe, the U.S. and China, there has been a sustained spike in predatory economic behavior, as the heavily indebted central government and producers are forced to find more extreme (previously considered unethical) methods to extract any remaining wealth from increasingly desperate and impoverished consumers, who are either unwilling or unable to go into further debt without forceful coercion.[123][124][125] Long-term investment and sustained capital investment are almost impossible in this environment because the "measuring stick" of return on investment (the real value of money) is so uncertain at times of debt-induced credit crunch, depression or hyperinflation.

As potential new borrowers and international financiers are scared away from participating in the pyramid scheme of debt and borrowing further, the monetary system seizes up, starved of the fresh injections of debt money it needs for its survival, thereby precipitating economic anarchy, widespread lawlessness and insolvency of the monetary and banking system.[126][127]

This final denouement is triggered when borrowers cannot be found to buy depreciating heavily indebted assets, and international financiers reduce lending as they experience losses on pre-existing loans either through asset or currency depreciation. Some analysts predict that the monetary system will seize up due to a deflationary depression or a sustained period of stagflationary hyperinflation resulting in a "final and total catastrophe of our fiat monetary system."[128]

This has often occurred after a failed aggressive war, as international financiers realize the heavily indebted government they funded will not gain the resources it planned to seize as a result of the waging of aggressive war. When this pay-off does not materialize, the government is left with the debt of war without the ability to offset this government debt through the imposition of reparations on the defeated nation and the acquisition of the defeated state's resources. This occurred to Germany after the First World War and Japan after the Second World War.

Whatever the trigger, the key warning sign of any impending monetary crisis and economic anarchy is a sudden currency crisis.[129] Early warning signs that the private banks themselves are aware of an impending breakdown in the solvency of the financial system would be: a spike in the prices for oil (which is an internationally accepted, inherently limited, store of value, and therefore can act as a modern form of hard currency, oil sometimes being referred to as "black gold"), gold, silver and other stable, non-perishable, inherently limited natural resources essential for non-discretionary industrial production; a spike in the futures contracts for vital agricultural commodities such as sugar,[130] coffee, wheat, soybeans and rice, as investors realize the debt-based monetary system has squeezed supplies of arable land; a sudden flight of money to Treasury bills and/or a sudden spike in the interest rate differential between short-term Treasury bills and asset-backed corporate paper (or a sudden spike in the LIBOR rate in London)[131][132] - and, in the very late stages of a credit crisis, a sudden flight of money away from Treasury bills and a collapse in government bond prices, as governments ultimately find it impossible to pay interest on their debt from coercively acquired taxes.[133]

Shortly thereafter, some monetary reformers predict that there would be desperate, but ultimately futile central bank intervention, a currency crisis, a panic run on a number of marginal, insolvent banks and hedge funds as desperate wealthy investors try to get cash out before the pyramid scheme collapses to invest in inherently limited, non-perishable, in-demand commodities such as oil and gold (and undeveloped agricultural and industrial land in areas of the world with strong economic growth), followed by a recession or depression in the broader heavily indebted economy as the money supply contracts.[134][135]

In 2010 Ireland and Greece experienced simiilar financial crises along the lines described above and many financial commentators and politicians expect more countries to go through the same debt crisis.[136][137]

Potential solutions

Although time is the only real remedy for monetary crises (allowing re-inflation of the markets through the gradual injection of new debt money into the system through new borrowings), time is something panicked financiers and investors are least likely to want to give up when the threat is never getting their money out of the imploding investment bubble. In extreme cases banks could set up "independent" corporate investment vehicles to buy the assets associated with the bad debt,[138] thereby allowing borrowers to liquidate their investments and allow time for the markets to re-inflate. Alternatively, these "sour" loans, that have gone bad through too much debt overwhelming the markets, could be dumped or "hidden" on the central bank's balance sheet, and swapped for more secure government debt (financed through compulsorily acquired taxes, which is immune from the risk of private bankruptcy). However the holding costs involved in these measures would be extremely high and would not guarantee that the losses could be averted if no new gullible investors could be found to offload these distressed assets.[139] More fundamentally, these short-term "parachutes" used after bubbles burst do not save ordinary borrowers from foreclosure and bankruptcy, nor do they address the pernicious long-term dysfunctional aspects of fractional reserve banking described above. These problems are temporarily averted, only to be dealt with yet again by the next generation of indebted governments and peoples.[140][141]

Given these repeated financial crises arising from the debt-based monetary system, many monetary reformers predict that there will inevitably be a return to the gold standard, a fundamental change in the way money is produced and distributed (with a return to the prevalence of government-issued debt-free fiat currency and/or free banking) - or a complete financial "meltdown" as fewer young people in developed economies can be found who are willing to go into debt in sufficient magnitude to pay off the debts that have already been accumulated.[142] As extreme inequality increases, foreclosures mount and financial crises repeatedly erupt, these monetary reformers believe a political crisis will eventually result in calls for fundamental monetary reform.

These on-going, worsening, debt-created crises in the economy and society (and the unsustainable damage to the environment caused by debt-created overconsumption) could turn monetary and economic policies either to the extreme left or to the extreme right, as there are a number of competing solutions to the debt-based monetary "problem".

Proposals for monetary reform

Libertarians and commodity money

Libertarians envision a society of free markets, small government[143] and money backed by a gold standard or silver standard.[144][145][146][147][148][149][150] Some Libertarians would also support experimentation with full-reserve banking,[151][152][153] recognizing that when fractional-reserve banking is combined with the gold standard a deflationary bias (and the systematic transfer of real wealth to the banking system) is normally inevitable. Those Libertarians who support full reserve banking would strongly support more flexible and forgiving bankruptcy laws in a fractional reserve banking environment, recognizing that no stigma should be attached to bankruptcy given the anti-Libertarian "unjust acquisition" of real wealth implicit in both fractional reserve banking and taxation.[154][155][156][157]

Regarding the current accumulation of government bonds and private debt, some Libertarians believe that the creation of the Federal Reserve under the Federal Reserve Act of 1913 was unconstitutional and some Libertarians consider that at least some of this accumulated debt should be canceled or forgiven prior to a return to the gold standard in recognition of its fundamental illegitimacy.[155] Arguably this would be supported by the "just acquisition" jurisprudence of legal philosopher Robert Nozick and Libertarian advocate Murray Rothbard.[155]

In late 2010, financial commentator Max Keiser started the Buy Silver Crash JP Morgan Campaign 2010 in an attempt to expose the flaws underlying the fractional reserve banking system.

Reform within fiat currency systems

Ellen Hodgson Brown calls for the nationalization of the private banking system once the full losses on the banks' portfolios are recognized.[158][159] She also supports "QE2" - which she describes as a necessary and desirable funding of government spending via money printing rather than by the indirect means of issuing of interest-bearing government bonds, which simply allows private bankers to profit from costless money creation.[160][161] In late 2010, Ellen Hodgson Brown and Austrian School commentator Gary North engaged in an intense debate over the direction of monetary reform, with gold-standard supporter Gary North accusing Brown of going down a path that inevitably leads to the economics of fascism.[162][163]

Michael Rowbotham also seeks the cancellation of "unjust" debts (such as third world debt), but would also support the re-introduction of strongly redistributive tax policies involving higher financial transaction taxes (such as a Tobin tax), land taxes and inheritance taxes, and, crucially and most importantly, a social security safety net involving a guaranteed minimum debt-free income (sourced from government-issued debt-free money independent of any central bank) for all citizens in the debt-based economy. Under this proposal, every adult citizen would be given a livable debt-free income transferred electronically into their bank account, simply by virtue of their citizenship. They could then use this debt-free money to pay off their mortgages or to live, debt-free, without being compelled to work as a wage slave in the market economy if they chose not to. The government would finance these payments simply by ordering the private banks to accept their electronic instructions as legal tender. It would therefore not result in the expansion of government debt.

Instead of money being created "indirectly" and "furtively" at the point of loan creation by the private banking system, with periodic bailouts to already-rich bankers, it would be created directly and openly by the democratically elected government and issued to its citizenry by way of instruction to the private banking system.

Rowbotham and Ellen Hodgson Brown both argue in their books that this would not be inflationary (or at least would not be as inflationary or as dysfunctional as the present system).[164] This would also reduce overconsumption and the associated environmental damage associated with debt-based consumerism. It would also give individuals the free time to engage once again in non-marketable religious, artistic and recreational activities if they chose to do so.[22]

Ex-U.S. Treasury Department analyst Richard C. Cook also supports the issuance of debt-free money and zero-interest credit by the central government and has provided a detailed blueprint of monetary reform recommendations to transition to a debt-free money supply.[84]

Many monetary reformers who call on the government to take back the money creation from debt-sourced banks also call for full reserve banking to remove the bank's alleged "embezzlement" and "counterfeiting" abilities.[84][165]

It is to be expected that these policies would be violently opposed by the private banking "elite", as it would render impotent their control over the money supply, dissipating this crucial decision-making power away from its current power base. It would also be likely to reduce economic growth, dramatically increase the cost of labor and, potentially, simply increase price inflation as individuals used the additional income simply to bid up the cost of health care, education, housing, food and other real assets.[166] However, this proposal would undoubtedly address the problem of inequality inherent in a debt-based monetary system and reduce the devastating impact of personal bankruptcy and allow individual citizens to quickly recover from financial hardship. It would also ensure that this social security measure (and government spending in general) would not have to be paid for by future generations from future streams of income tax.

Left-leaning ideas

Many left-leaning social democrats would also support the taxing of the banking system and the enforcement of strongly redistributive income and land taxes to ensure the financially dispossessed are "replenished" with income. They would also support a social security safety net involving the provision of unemployment benefits and government-supplied free medical care, education and other essential services and public goods. It is to be expected however that, without the issuance of debt-free fiat currency, this system would result in the persistent, exponential, accumulation of government debt, financed by the private banking system by the issuance of government bonds. If not properly managed, this could result in a progressively higher tax burden and may result in higher interest rates in the long term, as financiers require higher interest rates to lend to the increasingly indebted central government. Without the issuance of debt-free money these policies can be self-defeating, with the net result simply being that a larger stream of guaranteed income goes to the private banking system via the issuance of interest-bearing government bonds (which are purchased by the private banks "out of nothing" through fractional reserve banking techniques). This government debt must then be financed in perpetuity by compulsorily acquired taxes from future generations.

It could be argued that the early success of extreme right-wing fascism in Nazi Germany and Italy in the period after World War I was a response to the economic chaos created by the debt-based monetary system in early 20th century Europe. Some of the economic policies introduced by Hitler and Mussolini were in direct response to the economic collapse and social anarchy caused by soaring government and personal debt levels in both countries in the post-Versailles Treaty era, and (indirectly) arose from the writings of Silvio Gesell and others on the nature of the problems associated with a debt-based monetary system. Although many historians justifiably criticize many of the non-economic policies of the fascist governments of Germany and Italy during this period, it cannot seriously be disputed that the economics of fascism provided a degree of prosperity to the populace, and that the economic policies that were implemented during this period by these fascist governments succeeded in their stated objective of restoring economic and social order during the pre-World War II era.[167]

Similarly it could be argued that socialism and communism were movements inspired by the inequalities caused by the intense (and in Karl Marx's view unsustainable) concentrations of monetary wealth, power and influence inherent in the practice of fractional reserve banking in a laissez-faire, free market capitalist environment (particularly when fractional reserve banking is combined with a gold standard or other hard currency monetary system).[168]

The communist/socialist solution to the problem of fractional reserve banking is simple: complete removal (and if necessary, violent non-democratic removal) of the allegedly "parasitic" political and financial capitalist class, wholesale repudiation of government debt resulting in complete debt default; forced expropriation of land and wealth from the upper classes to the dispossessed and needy working classes; nationalization of the private banks (which has required armed coups by the military in some past revolutions); and the return of the banking function from a dominant, speculative to a subordinate, administrative institution, where the banking system is reduced to a subservient arm of the centralized Leviathan. In this system, government-owned banks are directed by government policy; often provide different kinds of loans to different industry sectors at different interest rates depending on the perceived "needs" of the economy and the community; normally have a significant proportion of non-performing loans due to weak or non-existent bankruptcy laws; and periodically "forgive" failed debts in recognition of the impossibility of some businesses in paying this debt money back.

It is to be expected that the profitability of the government-owned banking system would be more stable - but dramatically lower - than that in a debt-based capitalist economy. It is also to be expected that a significantly higher misallocation of resources could occur in this system, where lending decisions are "infected" by political considerations and are not made on the basis of expected return on investment. The risk of corruption in the banking system is also expected to be higher where there is no separation between the political and monetary systems in an economy. Market-oriented monetary reformers and neo-classical economists therefore do not support nationalization of the private banking system.

It should be noted that partial nationalization of the private banking system would only be temporary, as any remaining private banks could still engage in unlimited fractional reserve banking and facilitate the eventual acquisition and control of any strategic assets in a partially socialized economic system. It is to be expected that in the absence of complete nationalization of the banking system, the private banking system would eventually dominate the financial system in any nominally socialist society.

Status under current systems

Whatever their political leanings, nearly all monetary reformers agree that the current mixture of policies prevalent in most Western democracies, involving the perpetuation of government-protected private banks (organizations legally permitted to engage in unlimited and inherently speculative fractional reserve banking activities, with recourse to central banks to provide bail outs of fiat money as lenders of last resort), laissez-faire economic policies (which have the effect of increasing the marketization and commodification of human activity), strictly enforced bankruptcy laws (which permit the periodic transfer of assets from failed bankrupt investors to the private banks and their associates) and personal income tax (which, combined with periodic economic collapses, dispossesses the majority of the populace from their accumulated income and wealth and transfers this wealth to the owners of government bonds) amounts to an inherently unstable, unjust and dysfunctional economic system resulting in environmentally damaging over-consumption, the systematic and irredeemable destruction of fertile arable land and the government-sponsored (and ultimately unsustainable) oppression of the indebted, impoverished and economically enslaved majority.[169]

See also

References

  1. 100% Money, Irving Fisher
  2. Friedman, M., A Program for Monetary Stability, New York, Fordham University Press, 1960, pp. 65
  3. The Social Imperative of Sound Money, Lew Rockwell: "I find it sickening that there are so few voices outside the Austrian School that will stand up to this policy (of fiat money/fractional reserve banking/central banking)".
  4. The Economics of Legal Tender Laws, Jorg Guido Hulsmann (includes detailed commentary on FRB)
  5. Money, Bank Credit and Economic Cycles, Jesus Huerta de Soto, Mises Institute ISBN: 978-1-933550-39-8
  6. Meltdown, Tom Woods, Regnery Press ISBN: 9781596985872
  7. End This Fed, Matt Stoller
  8. For an example of the writings of these groups, see this contribution from Bilderberg.org
  9. Is Our Money Based On Debt?, Robert Murphy
  10. 10.0 10.1 For an example of the public use of the term, see the speech of the Earl of Caithness in the House of Lords on 5 March 1997
  11. For example of the public use of the term, see this speech given by Zhou Xiaochuan, Reform the monetary system, 23 March 2009 (BIS), and this article, Roving Cavaliers of Credit by Steve Keen (with commentary by Yves Smith)
  12. Myths, MISH
  13. Deflation, MISH
  14. For an example of the mainstream use of the term "credit" instead of "debt-money" see this example from the Financial Times, 1 May 2008
  15. Paul Krugman, writing at Slate.com, says the Austrian theory of business cycles is "about as worthy of serious study as the phlogiston theory of fire". http://www.slate.com/id/9593
  16. Preface to 100% Money, Irving Fisher
  17. End the Fed, Ron Paul
  18. End the Fed, Ron Paul
  19. Money, Bank Credit and Economic Cycles, Jesus Huerta de Soto, Mises Institute ISBN: 978-1-933550-39-8
  20. Murray Rothbard, The Mystery of Banking
  21. 21.0 21.1 21.2 21.3 Brown, Ellen H. (2007). Web of Debt. Engdahl Publishing. ISBN 0979560802. http://books.google.com/books?id=ILMGrEC524UC. Retrieved 2007-12-15.  Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; name "books.google.com" defined multiple times with different content
  22. 22.00 22.01 22.02 22.03 22.04 22.05 22.06 22.07 22.08 22.09 22.10 22.11 22.12 22.13 Rowbotham, Michael (1998). The Grip of Death: A Study of Modern Money, Debt Slavery and Destructive Economics. Jon Carpenter Publishing. ISBN 9781897766408. 
  23. 23.0 23.1 23.2 Stephen A. Zarlenga, The Lost Science of Money AMI (2002)
  24. Sound Money, Lew Rockwell
  25. Our Money Madness, Lew Rockwell
  26. The Case for a Gold Dollar, Murray Rothbard
  27. 27.0 27.1 27.2 27.3 27.4 Antal E. Fekete, The Twilight of Irredeemable Debt
  28. Fractional Reserve Banking as Economic Parasitism
  29. Capital Spectator, "Does M3 Matter", November 16, 2005.
  30. Ron Paul video - fractional reserve banking is fraudulent
  31. End the Fed, Ron Paul
  32. End the Fed, Ron Paul
  33. Money, Bank Credit and Economic Cycles, Jesus Huerta de Soto, Mises Institute ISBN: 978-1-933550-39-8
  34. Sound Money, Lew Rockwell
  35. Our Money Madness, Lew Rockwell
  36. The Case for a Gold Dollar, Murray Rothbard
  37. End the Fed, Ron Paul
  38. Microfoundations and Macroeconomics: An Austrian Perspective, Steven Horwitz, pp. 223-232.
  39. The Economics of Legal Tender Laws, Jorg Guido Hulsmann
  40. Meltdown, Tom Woods, Regnery Press ISBN: 9781596985872
  41. What Does Debt-Based Money Imply for Interest Payments?, Robert Murphy
  42. Is Our Money Based On Debt?, Robert Murphy
  43. 43.0 43.1 The Forgotten War
  44. What Does Debt-Based Money Imply for Interest Payments?, Robert Murphy
  45. AMI Conference 2010, Steve Keen
  46. Solving the Paradox of Monetary Profits, Steve Keen
  47. What Does Debt-Based Money Imply for Interest Payments?, Robert Murphy
  48. AMI Conference 2010, Steve Keen
  49. Solving the Paradox of Monetary Profits, Steve Keen
  50. What Does Debt-Based Money Imply for Interest Payments?, Robert Murphy
  51. Antal E. Fekete, Fractional Reserve Banking Revisited
  52. Honest Money
  53. A Short History of Paper Money in the United States, William M. Gouge, Mises Institute
  54. Global Money Supply Ratios
  55. Money: Sound and Unsound, Mark Thornton commentary on Joseph Salerno's book
  56. Paper Ron Paul, Paper Money and Tyranny, Speech in U.S. House of Representative, September 5, 2003
  57. Taking Money Back, by Murray Rothbard
  58. 58.0 58.1 Ponzi Nation
  59. Fertile Obfuscation: Making Money Whilst Eroding Living Capital, 34th Annual Conference of the Canadian Economics Association, Mark Anielski
  60. Naomi Spencer, World Socialist Website, "Severe food shortages, price spikes threaten world population", 22 December 2007
  61. Severe food shortages, price spikes threaten world population
  62. Inflation in China
  63. Ponzi Nation,"Who is Hyman Minsky?", para 6
  64. David Korten, Agenda For A New Economy, Berret-Koehler, 2009
  65. George Monbiot, about five sixths of the way down
  66. The Economics of Legal Tender Laws, Jorg Guido Hulsmann
  67. Speech by Senator Kent Conrad (D-ND) on October 20, 2005 regarding the "misleading" reporting of deficit spending by the mainstream media
  68. Innovating Our Way to Financial Crisis, by Paul Krugman
  69. Bankruptcy law backfires
  70. Can the Fed Become Insolvent?, Robert Murphy
  71. Greenspaniel and U.S. bankruptcy
  72. Ireland Bailout, Alex Brummer
  73. QE2 and the Great Economic Misdiagnosis, Jim Willie
  74. QE2 and the Great Economic Misdiagnosis, Jim Willie
  75. [http://www.rgemonitor.com/41 IMF Reform and International Lender of Last Resort, RGE Monitor
  76. Banking Bunkum, by Henry C.K. Liu
  77. QE2 and the Great Economic Misdiagnosis, Jim Willie
  78. Irish Meltdown, UK Mail On-line,
  79. Ireland Bailout Consequences for Britain, Portugal Next?, Nadeem Walayat
  80. QE2 and the Great Economic Misdiagnosis, Jim Willie
  81. The Mogambo Theory of Currency Relativity
  82. Putin ditches dollar, RTTV
  83. Irish Meltdown, UK Mail On-line,
  84. 84.0 84.1 84.2 Market Fundamentalism, by Richard C. Cook
  85. Credit Crunch, by Satyajit Das
  86. Quantitative Easing Explained
  87. Does the Fed Create Money? Michael Pento
  88. ECB's mind-numbing cash injection
  89. Privitizing Profits and Socializing Losses, by Nouriel Roubini
  90. Central Banks have No Plan
  91. Central Banks get desperate
  92. Don't Discount the Fed Discount Window
  93. Monetary Policy in Deflation: The Liquidity Trap in History and Practice
  94. Moral Hazard and the "Greenspan Put"
  95. Budget Deficits, Paul Krugman
  96. Krugman, MISH
  97. The Inflation Prisoner, William Anderson
  98. Krugman, MISH
  99. Budget Deficits, Paul Krugman
  100. Japan's debt-ridden economy, The Economist
  101. The Inflation Prisoner, William Anderson
  102. QE won't help the economy
  103. QE won't save the economy
  104. Exchange Rates and Macroeconomic Policy
  105. Central Bank Intervention
  106. Financial Instability and the Federal Reserve as a Liquidity Provider, by Frederic S. Mishkin
  107. Can the Fed Become Insolvent?, Robert Murphy
  108. Quantitative Easing Explained, YouTube video
  109. Privatizing Profits and Socializing Losses, by Nouriel Roubini
  110. Regulatory Debauchery by Satyajit Das
  111. A run on the bank
  112. History Lesson from Lombard Street, Roger Farmer, Ft.com
  113. The Japanese and American Bubbles: Been There, Done Some of That
  114. New security legislation threats freedoms
  115. Gold Clause Cases
  116. America's Trade Debts Lead to a Likely Gold Confiscation
  117. FBI Raids Liberty Dollar
  118. The Solution
  119. US Mint Suspends Gold Coin Sales
  120. Why a Gold Standard Now?
  121. Early Speculative Bubbles and Increases in the Money Supply, Doug French, Mises Institute ISBN: 978-1-933550-44-2
  122. Fiat Money Inflation in France, Andrew Dickson White, Mises Institute
  123. Widdig, Bernd (2001). Culture and Inflation in Weimar Germany. University of California Press. ISBN 0520222903. http://books.google.com/books/ucpress?id=kvKAATycUzIC. Retrieved 2007-12-16. 
  124. John Law and the Invention of Modern Finance, Doug French (Mises.org)
  125. The Saga of John Law and Richard Cantillon, Sean Corrigan (Mises.org)
  126. Empire of Debt
  127. Fiat's Reprieve, by Robert K. Landis
  128. Fiat's Reprieve, by Robert K. Landis
  129. Fiat's Reprieve, by Robert K. Landis
  130. 2010 Portugal Sugar Crisis
  131. Fiat's Reprieve, by Robert K. Landis
  132. Pleas for rate cut as interbank loans dive
  133. Global bond rout, Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, UK Telegraph
  134. Fiat's Reprieve, by Robert K. Landis
  135. Hedge Funds, Financial Intermediation and Systemic Risk
  136. Greek protests
  137. "Who the Hell do you think you people are?", Nigel Farage, UKIP leader
  138. Citigroup looks to lend money
  139. A Wikileaks for the Fed?
  140. The Era of Global Financial Instability, by Mike Whitney
  141. A Wikileaks for the Fed?
  142. Saving the System, by Robert K. Landis
  143. Models of Capitalism, Michael Hutchinson
  144. Money: Sound and Unsound, Mark Thornton commentary on Joseph Salerno's book
  145. Gold Standard Renaissance?
  146. The Gold Standard Never Dies, Lew Rockwell
  147. Gold Standard, Michael Hutchinson
  148. Money, Bank Credit and Economic Cycles, Jesus Huerta de Soto, Mises Institute ISBN: 978-1-933550-39-8
  149. Goldseek interview with G. Edward Griffin
  150. See also these Murray Rothbard articles: What Has Government Done to Our Money?, The Case for the 100% Gold Dollar; The Fed as Cartel, Private Coinage, Repudiate the National Debt; Taking Money Back, Anatomy of the Bank Run, Money and the Individual
  151. Money: Sound and Unsound, Mark Thornton commentary on Joseph Salerno's book
  152. Money, Bank Credit and Economic Cycles, Jesus Huerta de Soto, Mises Institute ISBN: 978-1-933550-39-8
  153. Murray Rothbard, The Mystery of Banking
  154. Money: Sound and Unsound, Mark Thornton commentary on Joseph Salerno's book
  155. 155.0 155.1 155.2 Repudiating the National Debt, Murray Rothbard
  156. Murray Rothbard, The Mystery of Banking
  157. Want to Ruin Your Country?
  158. Time for a New Theory of Money
  159. Foreclosuregate could force bank nationalization
  160. QE2 and the Looming Threat of a Crippling Debt Service
  161. QE2 and Hyperinflation, Ellen Hodgson Brown
  162. Criticism of Ellen Hodgson Brown
  163. Ellen Betrays, Gary North
  164. Weimar Hyperinflation, Ellen Hodgson Brown
  165. AMI website, calling on full-reserve banking
  166. Response to the Magambo Guru, by Ellen Hodgson Brown
  167. How a Bankrupt Germany Solved its Economic Problems, Ellen Hodgson Brown
  168. Roving Cavaliers of Credit, Steve Keen, with commentary from Yves Smith at Naked Capitalism
  169. The Ethics of Money Production, Jorg Guido Hulsmann

External links