Jump to content

User:GrahamW: Difference between revisions

From The Austrian Economics Wiki, the global repository of classical-liberal thought
sp.
GrahamW (talk | contribs)
Blanked the page
 
Line 1: Line 1:
User page


==Republican Party presidential primaries, 2012==
The mainstream media are not projecting many delegates for Ron Paul at the Republic National Convention.  For example, CNN projected 9 for Ron Paul from Minnesota, but he has won 20 of the first 24 delegates assigned in that state. 
There are reports from the ground that claim that Ron Paul has won, or is likely to win, considerably more delegates than these projections indicate.  This table is an attempt to bring together these reports to give a more accurate picture of how many delegates Ron Paul is winning or likely to win.
==Table of Results/Projections==
{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:12px;"
|- bgcolor="#e9e9e9"
! colspan="1" style="padding:4px;"|State
! colspan="5" style="padding:4px;"|RNC Delegates
! colspan="3" style="padding:4px;"|To Be Assigned Later
! colspan="1" style="padding:4px;"|Total Delegates
! colspan="1" style="padding:4px;"|State Convention Date
! colspan="1" style="padding:4px;"|Reported Quotes
|- bgcolor="#eeeeee"
! rowspan="2" style="width:100px;"|
! rowspan="2" style="width:50px;"| Paul
! rowspan="2" style="width:50px;"| Romney
! rowspan="2" style="width:50px;"| Santorum
! rowspan="2" style="width:50px;"| Gingrich
! rowspan="2" style="width:50px;"| Uncommitted
! rowspan="2" style="width:50px;"| State Convention To Decide
! rowspan="2" style="width:50px;"| Congressional District Caucus To Decide
! rowspan="2" style="width:50px;"| Automatic (RNC) Delegates
! rowspan="2" style="width:20px;"|
! rowspan="2" style="width:150px;"|
|- bgcolor="#eeeeee"
!
|- align="right"
| align="left"| Minnesota
|bgcolor="pink"| 20
|bgcolor="pink"| 1
|bgcolor="pink"| 2
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 1
| 13
| 0
| 3
| 40
| 4 May
| <ref>[http://www.slate.com/blogs/weigel/2012/04/23/ron_paul_wins_minnesota_delegates_by_a_landslide.html Ron Paul Wins Minnesota Delegates by a Landslide]</ref><ref>[http://www.piercecountyherald.com/event/article/id/44707/ Rep. Paul supporters elected to half of Minnesota GOP convention delegation]</ref>
|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Iowa
| 13
| 0
| 0
| 0
| 0
| 12
|
| 3
| 28
| 6 June
| "RP will not get less than half" <ref>[http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/332617/20120424/ron-paul-2012-delegates-news-iowa-minnesota.htm Ron Paul 2012 Wins Iowa & Minnesota Delegates, Demonstrating Possible Path to White House]</ref><ref>[http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=347BJLhZkE4 Reality Check 5:32 "Those 13 slots are Ron Paul delegates"]</ref>
|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Maine
| 24
| 0
| 0
| 0
| 0
| 15
| 6
| 3
| 24
| 4 May
| "RP could well sweep all 24" <ref>[http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/election-2012/post/maine-caucuses-provide-a-window-into-ron-paul-delegate-strategy/2012/02/12/gIQARNbC9Q_blog.html Maine caucuses provide a window into Ron Paul delegate strategy]</ref>
|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Washington
| >21
|
|
|
|
| 10
| 30
| 3
| 43
| 31 May
| "RP has locked up at least half"<ref>[http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/333906/20120426/ron-paul-2012-delegates-news-romney-convention.htm Ron Paul 2012 Wins Majority Of Washington Delegates To Convention, Other States Expected To Follow]</ref>
|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| North Dakota
|bgcolor="pink"| 2
|bgcolor="pink"| 20
|bgcolor="pink"| 6
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
| 0
| 0
| 0
| 28
|
| <ref>[http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/ND-R The Green Papers North Dakota Republican]</ref>
|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Missouri
|bgcolor="pink"| 4
|bgcolor="pink"| 12
|bgcolor="pink"| 7
|bgcolor="pink"| 1
|bgcolor="pink"| 25
| 0
| 0
| 3
| 52
|
| "Paul took 20 of the 40 delegates awarded"<ref>[http://articles.businessinsider.com/2012-04-27/politics/31419425_1_romney-delegates-delegate-total-ron-paul Actually, Ron Paul Is Secretly Winning A Lot More Delegates Than You Think]</ref><ref>[http://www.mogop.org/2012/04/6241/ MOGOP releases unofficial results of the Congressional District Conventions]</ref>
|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Alaska
|bgcolor="pink"| 6
|bgcolor="pink"| 8
|bgcolor="pink"| 8
|bgcolor="pink"| 2
|bgcolor="pink"| 3
| 0
| 0
| 0
| 27
|
| "A Paul supporter was voted in as the new GOP chairman Saturday at the state convention"<ref>[http://www.politico.com/blogs/charlie-mahtesian/2012/04/ron-pauls-alaska-payback-121953.html Ron Paul's Alaska payback]</ref><ref>[http://www.kansascity.com/2012/04/30/3583855/ron-pauls-supporters-stir-up-alaska.html Ron Paul's supporters stir up Alaska GOP convention]</ref>
|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Nevada
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 28
|
| "RP expected to win a big chunk of the RNC delegates at the state conventions later this spring"<ref>[http://articles.businessinsider.com/2012-04-27/politics/31419425_1_romney-delegates-delegate-total-ron-paul Actually, Ron Paul Is Secretly Winning A Lot More Delegates Than You Think]</ref>
|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Colorado
|bgcolor="pink"| 0 (+13)
|bgcolor="pink"| 13
|bgcolor="pink"| 6 (+1)
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 14
| 0
| 0
| 3
| 36
|
| "13 unpledged delegates, including me, will vote for Ron Paul. 1 for Santorum." <ref>[http://communities.washingtontimes.com/neighborhood/reawakening-liberty/2012/apr/15/colorado-further-evidence-ron-paul-will-challenge-/ Colorado further evidence Ron Paul will challenge Romney in Tampa]</ref>
|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Louisiana
| 17
| 0
| 3
| 0
| 1
| 5
| 0
| 3
| 26
| 2 June
| "Paul is guaranteed at least 17 of the 46 delegates to the convention"<ref>[http://www.nola.com/politics/index.ssf/2012/04/ron_paul_supporters_dominate_l.html Ron Paul supporters dominate Louisiana's Republican presidential caucuses]</ref>
|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Pennsylvania
| 5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 72
|
| <ref>[http://articles.businessinsider.com/2012-04-27/politics/31419425_1_romney-delegates-delegate-total-ron-paul Actually, Ron Paul Is Secretly Winning A Lot More Delegates Than You Think]</ref>
|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Rhode Island
| 4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 19
|
| <ref>[http://articles.businessinsider.com/2012-04-27/politics/31419425_1_romney-delegates-delegate-total-ron-paul Actually, Ron Paul Is Secretly Winning A Lot More Delegates Than You Think]</ref>
|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Massachusetts
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 41
| June
| "Less than half of Romney’s 27 chosen delegates won"<ref>[http://articles.boston.com/2012-04-30/metro/31478610_1_romney-slate-mitt-romney-massachusetts-governor State GOP’s caucus picks leave Romney slate slighted]</ref>
|}
Note: pink denotes a relatively high level of confidence in the projection, but even these are technically "unpledged" in many cases.
==References==
<references/>
This table is here purely for reference on how to make a table here.  They happen to be the Minnestoa results.
{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:12px;"
|- bgcolor="#e9e9e9"
! colspan="8" style="padding:4px;"| Election Reporting<ref name="MNSOS">{{cite web |url=http://caucusresults.sos.state.mn.us/ElecRsltsCaucus.asp?M=PTY&PtyCd=R |title=Election Reporting System: Statewide Results for Republican Party |publisher=Minnesota Secretary of State |accessdate=March 1, 2012}}</ref>
|- bgcolor="#eeeeee"
! rowspan="2" style="width:140px;"| Candidate
! rowspan="2" style="width:70px;"| Votes
! rowspan="2" style="width:70px;"| Percentage
! colspan="2" style="width:100px; padding:4px;"| Projected delegate count
! rowspan="2" style="width:50px;"| Actual delegate count<ref name=pierce /><ref name="Anderson" /><ref name="pierce2"></ref>
|- bgcolor="#eeeeee"
! style="width:50px;"|<small>[[The Green Papers|GP]]</small><br/><ref name="The Green Papers">{{cite news |url=http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/MN-R |title=2012 Minnesota Republican Caucus |publisher=The Green Papers |accessdate=February 9, 2012}}</ref>
! style="width:50px;"|<small>[[CNN]]</small><br/><ref name="CNN">{{cite news |url=http://edition.cnn.com/election/2012/primaries/state/mn |title=Primaries - State Results: Minnesota |publisher=CNN |accessdate=February 8, 2012}}</ref>
|- align="right"
| align="left"| [[Rick Santorum]]
|bgcolor="pink"| 21,988
|bgcolor="pink"| 44.95%
|bgcolor="pink"| 17
|bgcolor="pink"| 25
| 2
|- style="text-align:right;"
|bgcolor="pink" style="text-align:left; padding:4px;"|[[File:America_Symbol.svg|14px]] '''[[Ron Paul]]'''
| 13,282
| 27.15%
| 10
| 9
|bgcolor="pink"| 20
|- style="text-align:right;"
| style="text-align:left; padding:4px;"| [[Mitt Romney]]
| 8,240
| 16.85%
| 6
| 2
| 1
|- style="text-align:right;"
| style="text-align:left; padding:4px;"|[[Newt Gingrich]]
| 5,263
| 10.76%
| 5
| 1
| 0
|- style="text-align:right;"
| style="text-align:left; padding:4px;"|Write-in
| 143
| 0.29%
| 0
| 0
| 0
|-  style="text-align:right; background:#eee;"
| colspan="3" style="padding:4px;"| '''Unpledged delegates:'''
| '''2'''
| '''3'''
| '''17'''
|- bgcolor="#eeeeee" style="text-align:right;"
| style="padding:4px;"|'''Total:'''
| '''48,916'''
| '''100.0%'''
| '''40'''
| '''40'''
| '''40'''
|}
<references/>

Latest revision as of 17:09, 3 June 2012