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==Republican Party presidential primaries, 2012==


The mainstream media are not projecting many delegates for Ron Paul at the Republic National Convention.  For example, CNN projected 9 for Ron Paul in Minnesota, but he has won 20 of the first 24 delegates assigned in that state.   
The mainstream media are not projecting many delegates for Ron Paul at the Republic National Convention.  For example, CNN projected 9 for Ron Paul from Minnesota, but he has won 20 of the first 24 delegates assigned in that state.   


There are reports from the ground that claim that Ron Paul has won, or is likely to win, considerably more delegates than the mainstream would like to admit.  This table is an attempt to bring together these reports to give a more accurate picture of how many delegates Ron Paul is winning.
There are reports from the ground that claim that Ron Paul has won, or is likely to win, considerably more delegates than these projections indicate.  This table is an attempt to bring together these reports to give a more accurate picture of how many delegates Ron Paul is winning or likely to win.
 
==Table of Results/Projections==


{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:12px;"
{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:12px;"
|- bgcolor="#e9e9e9"
|- bgcolor="#e9e9e9"
! colspan="1" style="padding:4px;"|State
! colspan="1" style="padding:4px;"|State
! colspan="5" style="padding:4px;"|RNC Delegates (Pink=Confirmed, White=Estimated)
! colspan="5" style="padding:4px;"|RNC Delegates
! colspan="3" style="padding:4px;"|To Be Assigned Later
! colspan="3" style="padding:4px;"|To Be Assigned Later
! colspan="1" style="padding:4px;"|Total Delegates
! colspan="1" style="padding:4px;"|Total Delegates
Line 24: Line 27:
! rowspan="2" style="width:50px;"| Congressional District Caucus To Decide
! rowspan="2" style="width:50px;"| Congressional District Caucus To Decide
! rowspan="2" style="width:50px;"| Automatic (RNC) Delegates
! rowspan="2" style="width:50px;"| Automatic (RNC) Delegates
! rowspan="2" style="width:50px;"|  
! rowspan="2" style="width:20px;"|  
! rowspan="2" style="width:150px;"|  
! rowspan="2" style="width:150px;"|  
|- bgcolor="#eeeeee"  
|- bgcolor="#eeeeee"  
Line 40: Line 43:
| 40
| 40
| 4 May
| 4 May
|  
| <ref>[http://www.slate.com/blogs/weigel/2012/04/23/ron_paul_wins_minnesota_delegates_by_a_landslide.html Ron Paul Wins Minnesota Delegates by a Landslide]</ref><ref>[http://www.piercecountyherald.com/event/article/id/44707/ Rep. Paul supporters elected to half of Minnesota GOP convention delegation]</ref>
 
|- style="text-align:right;"
|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Iowa
| align="left"| Iowa
| >14
|
|
|
|
| 13
| 13
| 0
| 0
| 0
| 0
| 12
|  
|  
|  
| 3
| 28
| 28
| 6 June
| 6 June
| "RP will not get less than half the 28" <ref>[http://mises.org Mises Institute]</ref>
| "RP will not get less than half" <ref>[http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/332617/20120424/ron-paul-2012-delegates-news-iowa-minnesota.htm Ron Paul 2012 Wins Iowa & Minnesota Delegates, Demonstrating Possible Path to White House]</ref><ref>[http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=347BJLhZkE4 Reality Check 5:32 "Those 13 slots are Ron Paul delegates"]</ref>


|- style="text-align:right;"
|- style="text-align:right;"
Line 67: Line 71:
| 24
| 24
| 4 May
| 4 May
| "RP could well sweep all 24"
| "RP could well sweep all 24" <ref>[http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/election-2012/post/maine-caucuses-provide-a-window-into-ron-paul-delegate-strategy/2012/02/12/gIQARNbC9Q_blog.html Maine caucuses provide a window into Ron Paul delegate strategy]</ref>


|- style="text-align:right;"
|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Washington
| align="left"| Washington
|  
| >21
|  
|  
|  
|  
Line 81: Line 85:
| 43
| 43
| 31 May
| 31 May
| "RP has locked up at least half"
| "RP has locked up at least half"<ref>[http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/333906/20120426/ron-paul-2012-delegates-news-romney-convention.htm Ron Paul 2012 Wins Majority Of Washington Delegates To Convention, Other States Expected To Follow]</ref>


|- style="text-align:right;"
|- style="text-align:right;"
Line 94: Line 98:
| 0
| 0
| 28
| 28
| 30 May
|  
|  
| <ref>[http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/ND-R The Green Papers North Dakota Republican]</ref>


|- style="text-align:right;"
|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Missouri
| align="left"| Missouri
|bgcolor="pink"| 4
|bgcolor="pink"| 12
|bgcolor="pink"| 7
|bgcolor="pink"| 1
|bgcolor="pink"| 25
| 0
| 0
| 3
| 52
|  
|  
| "Paul took 20 of the 40 delegates awarded"<ref>[http://articles.businessinsider.com/2012-04-27/politics/31419425_1_romney-delegates-delegate-total-ron-paul Actually, Ron Paul Is Secretly Winning A Lot More Delegates Than You Think]</ref><ref>[http://www.mogop.org/2012/04/6241/ MOGOP releases unofficial results of the Congressional District Conventions]</ref>
|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Alaska
|bgcolor="pink"| 6
|bgcolor="pink"| 8
|bgcolor="pink"| 8
|bgcolor="pink"| 2
|bgcolor="pink"| 3
| 0
| 0
| 0
| 27
|
| "A Paul supporter was voted in as the new GOP chairman Saturday at the state convention"<ref>[http://www.politico.com/blogs/charlie-mahtesian/2012/04/ron-pauls-alaska-payback-121953.html Ron Paul's Alaska payback]</ref><ref>[http://www.kansascity.com/2012/04/30/3583855/ron-pauls-supporters-stir-up-alaska.html Ron Paul's supporters stir up Alaska GOP convention]</ref>
|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Nevada
|  
|  
|  
|  
Line 107: Line 138:
|  
|  
|  
|  
| 52
|  
|  
| "Paul took 20 of the 40 delegates awarded"
| 28
|
| "RP expected to win a big chunk of the RNC delegates at the state conventions later this spring"<ref>[http://articles.businessinsider.com/2012-04-27/politics/31419425_1_romney-delegates-delegate-total-ron-paul Actually, Ron Paul Is Secretly Winning A Lot More Delegates Than You Think]</ref>


|- style="text-align:right;"
|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Alaska
| align="left"| Colorado
|bgcolor="pink"| 0 (+13)
|bgcolor="pink"| 13
|bgcolor="pink"| 6 (+1)
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 14
| 0
| 0
| 3
| 36
|  
|  
| "13 unpledged delegates, including me, will vote for Ron Paul. 1 for Santorum." <ref>[http://communities.washingtontimes.com/neighborhood/reawakening-liberty/2012/apr/15/colorado-further-evidence-ron-paul-will-challenge-/ Colorado further evidence Ron Paul will challenge Romney in Tampa]</ref>
|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Louisiana
| 17
| 0
| 3
| 0
| 1
| 5
| 0
| 3
| 26
| 2 June
| "Paul is guaranteed at least 17 of the 46 delegates to the convention"<ref>[http://www.nola.com/politics/index.ssf/2012/04/ron_paul_supporters_dominate_l.html Ron Paul supporters dominate Louisiana's Republican presidential caucuses]</ref>
|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Pennsylvania
| 5
|  
|  
|  
|  
Line 121: Line 181:
|  
|  
|  
|  
| 27
| 72
|  
|  
| "A Paul supporter was voted in as the new GOP chairman Saturday at the state convention"
| <ref>[http://articles.businessinsider.com/2012-04-27/politics/31419425_1_romney-delegates-delegate-total-ron-paul Actually, Ron Paul Is Secretly Winning A Lot More Delegates Than You Think]</ref>


|- style="text-align:right;"
|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Nevada
| align="left"| Rhode Island
|  
| 4
|  
|  
|  
|  
Line 135: Line 195:
|  
|  
|  
|  
| 28
| 19
|  
|  
| "RP expected to win a big chunk of the RNC delegates at the state conventions later this spring"
| <ref>[http://articles.businessinsider.com/2012-04-27/politics/31419425_1_romney-delegates-delegate-total-ron-paul Actually, Ron Paul Is Secretly Winning A Lot More Delegates Than You Think]</ref>


|- style="text-align:right;"
|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Colorado
| align="left"| Massachussets
|  
|  
|  
|  
|  
|  
|  
|  
| 
|  
|  
|  
|  
|  
|  
|  
| 41
| 36
| June
|
| "Less than half of Romney’s 27 chosen delegates won"<ref>[http://articles.boston.com/2012-04-30/metro/31478610_1_romney-slate-mitt-romney-massachusetts-governor State GOP’s caucus picks leave Romney slate slighted]</ref>
| "RP expected to win a big chunk of the RNC delegates at the state conventions later this spring"
 
|}


|- style="text-align:right;"
Note: pink denotes a relatively high level of confidence in the projection, but even these are technically "unpledged" in many cases.
| align="left"| Louisiana
| 17
| 0
| 3
| 0
| 1
| 5
| 0
| 3
| 26
| 2 June
| "Paul is guaranteed at least 17 of the 46 delegates to the convention"


|}
==References==


<references/>
<references/>

Revision as of 23:51, 1 May 2012

User page

Republican Party presidential primaries, 2012

The mainstream media are not projecting many delegates for Ron Paul at the Republic National Convention. For example, CNN projected 9 for Ron Paul from Minnesota, but he has won 20 of the first 24 delegates assigned in that state.

There are reports from the ground that claim that Ron Paul has won, or is likely to win, considerably more delegates than these projections indicate. This table is an attempt to bring together these reports to give a more accurate picture of how many delegates Ron Paul is winning or likely to win.

Table of Results/Projections

State RNC Delegates To Be Assigned Later Total Delegates State Convention Date Reported Quotes
Paul Romney Santorum Gingrich Uncommitted State Convention To Decide Congressional District Caucus To Decide Automatic (RNC) Delegates
Minnesota 20 1 2 0 1 13 0 3 40 4 May [1][2]
Iowa 13 0 0 0 0 12 3 28 6 June "RP will not get less than half" [3][4]
Maine 24 0 0 0 0 15 6 3 24 4 May "RP could well sweep all 24" [5]
Washington >21 10 30 3 43 31 May "RP has locked up at least half"[6]
North Dakota 2 20 6 0 0 0 0 0 28 [7]
Missouri 4 12 7 1 25 0 0 3 52 "Paul took 20 of the 40 delegates awarded"[8][9]
Alaska 6 8 8 2 3 0 0 0 27 "A Paul supporter was voted in as the new GOP chairman Saturday at the state convention"[10][11]
Nevada 28 "RP expected to win a big chunk of the RNC delegates at the state conventions later this spring"[12]
Colorado 0 (+13) 13 6 (+1) 0 14 0 0 3 36 "13 unpledged delegates, including me, will vote for Ron Paul. 1 for Santorum." [13]
Louisiana 17 0 3 0 1 5 0 3 26 2 June "Paul is guaranteed at least 17 of the 46 delegates to the convention"[14]
Pennsylvania 5 72 [15]
Rhode Island 4 19 [16]
Massachussets 41 June "Less than half of Romney’s 27 chosen delegates won"[17]

Note: pink denotes a relatively high level of confidence in the projection, but even these are technically "unpledged" in many cases.

References

  1. ↑ Ron Paul Wins Minnesota Delegates by a Landslide
  2. ↑ Rep. Paul supporters elected to half of Minnesota GOP convention delegation
  3. ↑ Ron Paul 2012 Wins Iowa & Minnesota Delegates, Demonstrating Possible Path to White House
  4. ↑ Reality Check 5:32 "Those 13 slots are Ron Paul delegates"
  5. ↑ Maine caucuses provide a window into Ron Paul delegate strategy
  6. ↑ Ron Paul 2012 Wins Majority Of Washington Delegates To Convention, Other States Expected To Follow
  7. ↑ The Green Papers North Dakota Republican
  8. ↑ Actually, Ron Paul Is Secretly Winning A Lot More Delegates Than You Think
  9. ↑ MOGOP releases unofficial results of the Congressional District Conventions
  10. ↑ Ron Paul's Alaska payback
  11. ↑ Ron Paul's supporters stir up Alaska GOP convention
  12. ↑ Actually, Ron Paul Is Secretly Winning A Lot More Delegates Than You Think
  13. ↑ Colorado further evidence Ron Paul will challenge Romney in Tampa
  14. ↑ Ron Paul supporters dominate Louisiana's Republican presidential caucuses
  15. ↑ Actually, Ron Paul Is Secretly Winning A Lot More Delegates Than You Think
  16. ↑ Actually, Ron Paul Is Secretly Winning A Lot More Delegates Than You Think
  17. ↑ State GOP’s caucus picks leave Romney slate slighted



This table is here purely for reference on how to make a table here. They happen to be the Minnestoa results.

Election Reporting[1]
Candidate Votes Percentage Projected delegate count Actual delegate count[2][3][4]
GP
[5] 		CNN
[6]
Rick Santorum 21,988 44.95% 17 25 2
Ron Paul 13,282 27.15% 10 9 20
Mitt Romney 8,240 16.85% 6 2 1
Newt Gingrich 5,263 10.76% 5 1 0
Write-in 143 0.29% 0 0 0
Unpledged delegates: 2 3 17
Total: 48,916 100.0% 40 40 40
  1. ↑ "Election Reporting System: Statewide Results for Republican Party". Minnesota Secretary of State. http://caucusresults.sos.state.mn.us/ElecRsltsCaucus.asp?M=PTY&PtyCd=R. Retrieved March 1, 2012. 
  2. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named pierce
  3. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named Anderson
  4. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named pierce2
  5. ↑ "2012 Minnesota Republican Caucus". The Green Papers. Retrieved February 9, 2012. 
  6. ↑ "Primaries - State Results: Minnesota". CNN. Retrieved February 8, 2012. 
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