Republican Party presidential primaries, 2012

2012-05-02T17:25:31Z

Jcilley78: /* Table of Results/Projections */

The 2012 race to become the [[Republic Party]] nominee for [[President of the United States]] in 2012 featured libertarian Congressman [[Ron Paul]]. Paul's anti-war, anti-Fed, pro-civil liberties views contrasted with the positions of the other candidates: Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, Newt Gingrich, Rick Perry, Herman Cain, Michele Bachmann and Jon Huntsman. By April 2012, all candidates except Paul and Romney had withdrawn from the race.

==Popular Vote==

As of 2 May, Romney leads with 39.7%, followed by Santorum (27.8%), Gingrich (19.9%), and Paul (10.3%). There have been allegations of election fraud and voter fraud.

==Delegate Selection==

The mainstream media are not projecting many delegates for Ron Paul at the Republic National Convention. For example, CNN projected 9 for Ron Paul from Minnesota, but he has won 20 of the first 24 delegates assigned in that state. Paul's strategy and superior grassroots organization enable him to pick up delegates out of proportion to the popular vote. For example, in Louisiana he won 6% of the popular vote, but has secured at least 17 of the 46 delegates from that state.

===Table of Results/Projections===

There are reports from the ground that claim that Ron Paul has won, or is likely to win, considerably more delegates than the projections indicate. This table is an attempt to bring together these reports to give a more accurate picture of how many delegates Paul is winning or likely to win.

{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:12px;"
|- bgcolor="#e9e9e9"
! colspan="1" style="padding:4px;"|State
! colspan="5" style="padding:4px;"|RNC Delegates
! colspan="3" style="padding:4px;"|To Be Assigned Later
! colspan="1" style="padding:4px;"|Total Delegates
! colspan="1" style="padding:4px;"|State Convention Date
! colspan="1" style="padding:4px;"|Reported Quotes
|- bgcolor="#eeeeee"
! rowspan="2" style="width:100px;"|
! rowspan="2" style="width:50px;"| Paul
! rowspan="2" style="width:50px;"| Romney
! rowspan="2" style="width:50px;"| Santorum
! rowspan="2" style="width:50px;"| Gingrich
! rowspan="2" style="width:50px;"| Uncommitted
! rowspan="2" style="width:50px;"| State Convention To Decide
! rowspan="2" style="width:50px;"| Congressional District Caucus To Decide
! rowspan="2" style="width:50px;"| Automatic (RNC) Delegates
! rowspan="2" style="width:20px;"|
! rowspan="2" style="width:150px;"|
|- bgcolor="#eeeeee"
!
|- align="right"
| align="left"| Minnesota
|bgcolor="pink"| 20
|bgcolor="pink"| 1
|bgcolor="pink"| 2
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 1
| 13
| 0
| 3
| 40
| 4 May
| <ref>[http://www.slate.com/blogs/weigel/2012/04/23/ron_paul_wins_minnesota_delegates_by_a_landslide.html Ron Paul Wins Minnesota Delegates by a Landslide]</ref><ref>[http://www.piercecountyherald.com/event/article/id/44707/ Rep. Paul supporters elected to half of Minnesota GOP convention delegation]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Iowa
| 13
| 0
| 0
| 0
| 0
| 12
|
| 3
| 28
| 6 June
| "RP will not get less than half" <ref>[http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/332617/20120424/ron-paul-2012-delegates-news-iowa-minnesota.htm Ron Paul 2012 Wins Iowa & Minnesota Delegates, Demonstrating Possible Path to White House]</ref><ref>[http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=347BJLhZkE4 Reality Check 5:32 "Those 13 slots are Ron Paul delegates"]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Maine
| 24
| 0
| 0
| 0
| 0
| 15
| 6
| 3
| 24
| 4 May
| "RP could well sweep all 24" <ref>[http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/election-2012/post/maine-caucuses-provide-a-window-into-ron-paul-delegate-strategy/2012/02/12/gIQARNbC9Q_blog.html Maine caucuses provide a window into Ron Paul delegate strategy]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Washington
| >21
|
|
|
|
| 10
| 30
| 3
| 43
| 31 May
| "RP has locked up at least half"<ref>[http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/333906/20120426/ron-paul-2012-delegates-news-romney-convention.htm Ron Paul 2012 Wins Majority Of Washington Delegates To Convention, Other States Expected To Follow]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| North Dakota
|bgcolor="pink"| 2
|bgcolor="pink"| 20
|bgcolor="pink"| 6
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
| 0
| 0
| 0
| 28
|
| <ref>[http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/ND-R The Green Papers North Dakota Republican]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Missouri
|bgcolor="pink"| 4
|bgcolor="pink"| 12
|bgcolor="pink"| 7
|bgcolor="pink"| 1
|bgcolor="pink"| 25
| 0
| 0
| 3
| 52
|
| "Paul took 20 of the 40 delegates awarded"<ref>[http://articles.businessinsider.com/2012-04-27/politics/31419425_1_romney-delegates-delegate-total-ron-paul Actually, Ron Paul Is Secretly Winning A Lot More Delegates Than You Think]</ref><ref>[http://www.mogop.org/2012/04/6241/ MOGOP releases unofficial results of the Congressional District Conventions]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Alaska
|bgcolor="pink"| 6
|bgcolor="pink"| 8
|bgcolor="pink"| 8
|bgcolor="pink"| 2
|bgcolor="pink"| 3
| 0
| 0
| 0
| 27
|
| "A Paul supporter was voted in as the new GOP chairman Saturday at the state convention"<ref>[http://www.politico.com/blogs/charlie-mahtesian/2012/04/ron-pauls-alaska-payback-121953.html Ron Paul's Alaska payback]</ref><ref>[http://www.kansascity.com/2012/04/30/3583855/ron-pauls-supporters-stir-up-alaska.html Ron Paul's supporters stir up Alaska GOP convention]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Nevada
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 28
|
| "RP expected to win a big chunk of the RNC delegates at the state conventions later this spring"<ref>[http://articles.businessinsider.com/2012-04-27/politics/31419425_1_romney-delegates-delegate-total-ron-paul Actually, Ron Paul Is Secretly Winning A Lot More Delegates Than You Think]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Colorado
|bgcolor="pink"| 0 (+13)
|bgcolor="pink"| 13
|bgcolor="pink"| 6 (+1)
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 14
| 0
| 0
| 3
| 36
|
| "13 unpledged delegates, including me, will vote for Ron Paul. 1 for Santorum." <ref>[http://communities.washingtontimes.com/neighborhood/reawakening-liberty/2012/apr/15/colorado-further-evidence-ron-paul-will-challenge-/ Colorado further evidence Ron Paul will challenge Romney in Tampa]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Louisiana
| 17
| 0
| 3
| 0
| 1
| 5
| 0
| 3
| 26(c)+20(p)
| 2 June
| "Paul is guaranteed at least 17 of the 46 delegates to the convention"<ref>[http://www.nola.com/politics/index.ssf/2012/04/ron_paul_supporters_dominate_l.html Ron Paul supporters dominate Louisiana's Republican presidential caucuses]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Pennsylvania
| 5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 72
|
| <ref>[http://articles.businessinsider.com/2012-04-27/politics/31419425_1_romney-delegates-delegate-total-ron-paul Actually, Ron Paul Is Secretly Winning A Lot More Delegates Than You Think]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Rhode Island
| 4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 19
|
| <ref>[http://articles.businessinsider.com/2012-04-27/politics/31419425_1_romney-delegates-delegate-total-ron-paul Actually, Ron Paul Is Secretly Winning A Lot More Delegates Than You Think]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Massachussets
| 16 (*)
| 11
| 0
| 0
| 0
| 11 (**)
| 0
| 3
| 41
| June
| "Less than half of Romney’s 27 chosen delegates won"<ref>[http://articles.boston.com/2012-04-30/metro/31478610_1_romney-slate-mitt-romney-massachusetts-governor State GOP’s caucus picks leave Romney slate slighted]</ref> <br />
'''*''' All delegates bound to Romney on 1st ballot <br />
'''**''' Selected by MA Republican State Committee

|}

Note: pink denotes a relatively high level of confidence in the projection, but even these are technically "unpledged" in many cases.

==References==

<references/>

[[Category:Issues]]

The Austrian Economics Wiki - User contributions [en]

Republican Party presidential primaries, 2012