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User:GrahamW

2012-05-24T03:55:49Z

173.245.48.73: sp.

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==Republican Party presidential primaries, 2012==

The mainstream media are not projecting many delegates for Ron Paul at the Republic National Convention. For example, CNN projected 9 for Ron Paul from Minnesota, but he has won 20 of the first 24 delegates assigned in that state.

There are reports from the ground that claim that Ron Paul has won, or is likely to win, considerably more delegates than these projections indicate. This table is an attempt to bring together these reports to give a more accurate picture of how many delegates Ron Paul is winning or likely to win.

==Table of Results/Projections==

{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:12px;"
|- bgcolor="#e9e9e9"
! colspan="1" style="padding:4px;"|State
! colspan="5" style="padding:4px;"|RNC Delegates
! colspan="3" style="padding:4px;"|To Be Assigned Later
! colspan="1" style="padding:4px;"|Total Delegates
! colspan="1" style="padding:4px;"|State Convention Date
! colspan="1" style="padding:4px;"|Reported Quotes
|- bgcolor="#eeeeee"
! rowspan="2" style="width:100px;"|
! rowspan="2" style="width:50px;"| Paul
! rowspan="2" style="width:50px;"| Romney
! rowspan="2" style="width:50px;"| Santorum
! rowspan="2" style="width:50px;"| Gingrich
! rowspan="2" style="width:50px;"| Uncommitted
! rowspan="2" style="width:50px;"| State Convention To Decide
! rowspan="2" style="width:50px;"| Congressional District Caucus To Decide
! rowspan="2" style="width:50px;"| Automatic (RNC) Delegates
! rowspan="2" style="width:20px;"|
! rowspan="2" style="width:150px;"|
|- bgcolor="#eeeeee"
!
|- align="right"
| align="left"| Minnesota
|bgcolor="pink"| 20
|bgcolor="pink"| 1
|bgcolor="pink"| 2
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 1
| 13
| 0
| 3
| 40
| 4 May
| <ref>[http://www.slate.com/blogs/weigel/2012/04/23/ron_paul_wins_minnesota_delegates_by_a_landslide.html Ron Paul Wins Minnesota Delegates by a Landslide]</ref><ref>[http://www.piercecountyherald.com/event/article/id/44707/ Rep. Paul supporters elected to half of Minnesota GOP convention delegation]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Iowa
| 13
| 0
| 0
| 0
| 0
| 12
|
| 3
| 28
| 6 June
| "RP will not get less than half" <ref>[http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/332617/20120424/ron-paul-2012-delegates-news-iowa-minnesota.htm Ron Paul 2012 Wins Iowa & Minnesota Delegates, Demonstrating Possible Path to White House]</ref><ref>[http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=347BJLhZkE4 Reality Check 5:32 "Those 13 slots are Ron Paul delegates"]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Maine
| 24
| 0
| 0
| 0
| 0
| 15
| 6
| 3
| 24
| 4 May
| "RP could well sweep all 24" <ref>[http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/election-2012/post/maine-caucuses-provide-a-window-into-ron-paul-delegate-strategy/2012/02/12/gIQARNbC9Q_blog.html Maine caucuses provide a window into Ron Paul delegate strategy]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Washington
| >21
|
|
|
|
| 10
| 30
| 3
| 43
| 31 May
| "RP has locked up at least half"<ref>[http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/333906/20120426/ron-paul-2012-delegates-news-romney-convention.htm Ron Paul 2012 Wins Majority Of Washington Delegates To Convention, Other States Expected To Follow]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| North Dakota
|bgcolor="pink"| 2
|bgcolor="pink"| 20
|bgcolor="pink"| 6
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
| 0
| 0
| 0
| 28
|
| <ref>[http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/ND-R The Green Papers North Dakota Republican]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Missouri
|bgcolor="pink"| 4
|bgcolor="pink"| 12
|bgcolor="pink"| 7
|bgcolor="pink"| 1
|bgcolor="pink"| 25
| 0
| 0
| 3
| 52
|
| "Paul took 20 of the 40 delegates awarded"<ref>[http://articles.businessinsider.com/2012-04-27/politics/31419425_1_romney-delegates-delegate-total-ron-paul Actually, Ron Paul Is Secretly Winning A Lot More Delegates Than You Think]</ref><ref>[http://www.mogop.org/2012/04/6241/ MOGOP releases unofficial results of the Congressional District Conventions]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Alaska
|bgcolor="pink"| 6
|bgcolor="pink"| 8
|bgcolor="pink"| 8
|bgcolor="pink"| 2
|bgcolor="pink"| 3
| 0
| 0
| 0
| 27
|
| "A Paul supporter was voted in as the new GOP chairman Saturday at the state convention"<ref>[http://www.politico.com/blogs/charlie-mahtesian/2012/04/ron-pauls-alaska-payback-121953.html Ron Paul's Alaska payback]</ref><ref>[http://www.kansascity.com/2012/04/30/3583855/ron-pauls-supporters-stir-up-alaska.html Ron Paul's supporters stir up Alaska GOP convention]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Nevada
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 28
|
| "RP expected to win a big chunk of the RNC delegates at the state conventions later this spring"<ref>[http://articles.businessinsider.com/2012-04-27/politics/31419425_1_romney-delegates-delegate-total-ron-paul Actually, Ron Paul Is Secretly Winning A Lot More Delegates Than You Think]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Colorado
|bgcolor="pink"| 0 (+13)
|bgcolor="pink"| 13
|bgcolor="pink"| 6 (+1)
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 14
| 0
| 0
| 3
| 36
|
| "13 unpledged delegates, including me, will vote for Ron Paul. 1 for Santorum." <ref>[http://communities.washingtontimes.com/neighborhood/reawakening-liberty/2012/apr/15/colorado-further-evidence-ron-paul-will-challenge-/ Colorado further evidence Ron Paul will challenge Romney in Tampa]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Louisiana
| 17
| 0
| 3
| 0
| 1
| 5
| 0
| 3
| 26
| 2 June
| "Paul is guaranteed at least 17 of the 46 delegates to the convention"<ref>[http://www.nola.com/politics/index.ssf/2012/04/ron_paul_supporters_dominate_l.html Ron Paul supporters dominate Louisiana's Republican presidential caucuses]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Pennsylvania
| 5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 72
|
| <ref>[http://articles.businessinsider.com/2012-04-27/politics/31419425_1_romney-delegates-delegate-total-ron-paul Actually, Ron Paul Is Secretly Winning A Lot More Delegates Than You Think]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Rhode Island
| 4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 19
|
| <ref>[http://articles.businessinsider.com/2012-04-27/politics/31419425_1_romney-delegates-delegate-total-ron-paul Actually, Ron Paul Is Secretly Winning A Lot More Delegates Than You Think]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Massachusetts
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 41
| June
| "Less than half of Romney’s 27 chosen delegates won"<ref>[http://articles.boston.com/2012-04-30/metro/31478610_1_romney-slate-mitt-romney-massachusetts-governor State GOP’s caucus picks leave Romney slate slighted]</ref>

|}

Note: pink denotes a relatively high level of confidence in the projection, but even these are technically "unpledged" in many cases.

==References==

<references/>

This table is here purely for reference on how to make a table here. They happen to be the Minnestoa results.

{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:12px;"
|- bgcolor="#e9e9e9"
! colspan="8" style="padding:4px;"| Election Reporting<ref name="MNSOS">{{cite web |url=http://caucusresults.sos.state.mn.us/ElecRsltsCaucus.asp?M=PTY&PtyCd=R |title=Election Reporting System: Statewide Results for Republican Party |publisher=Minnesota Secretary of State |accessdate=March 1, 2012}}</ref>
|- bgcolor="#eeeeee"
! rowspan="2" style="width:140px;"| Candidate
! rowspan="2" style="width:70px;"| Votes
! rowspan="2" style="width:70px;"| Percentage
! colspan="2" style="width:100px; padding:4px;"| Projected delegate count
! rowspan="2" style="width:50px;"| Actual delegate count<ref name=pierce /><ref name="Anderson" /><ref name="pierce2"></ref>
|- bgcolor="#eeeeee"
! style="width:50px;"|[[The Green Papers|GP]] <ref name="The Green Papers">{{cite news |url=http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/MN-R |title=2012 Minnesota Republican Caucus |publisher=The Green Papers |accessdate=February 9, 2012}}</ref>
! style="width:50px;"|[[CNN]] <ref name="CNN">{{cite news |url=http://edition.cnn.com/election/2012/primaries/state/mn |title=Primaries - State Results: Minnesota |publisher=CNN |accessdate=February 8, 2012}}</ref>
|- align="right"
| align="left"| [[Rick Santorum]]
|bgcolor="pink"| 21,988
|bgcolor="pink"| 44.95%
|bgcolor="pink"| 17
|bgcolor="pink"| 25
| 2
|- style="text-align:right;"
|bgcolor="pink" style="text-align:left; padding:4px;"|[[File:America_Symbol.svg|14px]] '''[[Ron Paul]]'''
| 13,282
| 27.15%
| 10
| 9
|bgcolor="pink"| 20
|- style="text-align:right;"
| style="text-align:left; padding:4px;"| [[Mitt Romney]]
| 8,240
| 16.85%
| 6
| 2
| 1
|- style="text-align:right;"
| style="text-align:left; padding:4px;"|[[Newt Gingrich]]
| 5,263
| 10.76%
| 5
| 1
| 0
|- style="text-align:right;"
| style="text-align:left; padding:4px;"|Write-in
| 143
| 0.29%
| 0
| 0
| 0
|- style="text-align:right; background:#eee;"
| colspan="3" style="padding:4px;"| '''Unpledged delegates:'''
| '''2'''
| '''3'''
| '''17'''
|- bgcolor="#eeeeee" style="text-align:right;"
| style="padding:4px;"|'''Total:'''
| '''48,916'''
| '''100.0%'''
| '''40'''
| '''40'''
| '''40'''
|}

<references/>

Republican Party presidential primaries, 2012

2012-05-24T03:53:16Z

173.245.48.73: sp.

The 2012 race to become the [[Republican Party (United States)|Republican Party]] nominee for [[President of the United States]] featured libertarian Congressman [[Ron Paul]]. Paul's anti-war, anti-Fed, pro-civil liberties views contrasted with the positions of the other candidates: Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, Newt Gingrich, Rick Perry, Herman Cain, Michele Bachmann and Jon Huntsman. By April 2012, all candidates except Paul and Romney had withdrawn from the race.

==Delegate Selection==

This analysis assumes that Ben Swann is incorrect when he says that no delegates are bound. It also assumes any delegates bound to Santorum or Gingrich are now unbound.

===Summary===

From the 18 states/territories that have had state conventions (leaving out AZ and OK)… Bound delegates: Paul 51 (10%), Romney 192 (37%), Unbound 278 (53%). Assuming no stealth delegates… Supporters: Paul 112 (21%), Romney 252 (48%), Unknown 157 (30%).

Adding the 11 states/territories/districts that used slates or direct elections… Bound delegates: Paul 59 (7%), Romney 358 (41%), Unbound 461 (53%). Assuming that these methods always result in delegates who support the candidate they are pledged to… '''Supporters: Paul 120 (14%), Romney 462 (53%), Unknown 296 (34%)'''.

Adding the 4 states that use committees and the 11 states that have had their popular vote (and/or CDC elections) but not their state convention… Bound delegates: Paul 78 (5%), Romney 762 (48%), To Be Bound 65 (4%), Unbound 699 (44%).

Adding the 2 disputed states and the 10 states yet to have their popular vote… '''Bound delegates: Paul 78 (3%), Romney 804 (35%), To Be Bound 628 (27%), Unbound 776 (34%)'''.

===States by Category===

20 states/territories (593 delegates) have had their state conventions.

--- 7 states (CO, MN, ME, MI, WY, AK, ND) have bound Paul delegates, and unbound delegates who are known Paul supporters. Bound delegates: Paul 39, Romney 61, Unbound 114. Among the unbound delegates there are at least 45 known Paul supporters.

--- 3 states (NV, VT, MD) have bound delegates who do not support the delegate they are bound to. Bound delegates: Paul 12, Romney 66, Unbound 4. 18 Paul supporters are bound to Romney; 2 Romney supporters are bound to Paul.

--- 2 states (AZ, OK) had disputed conventions. Paul may end up with a majority of supporters in both.

--- 8 other states/territories (SC, GA, KS, NMI, GU, MS, AS, DE) have had their state conventions, with no bound Paul delegates, and no known Paul supporters among the unbound delegates. Bound delegates: Paul 0, Romney 65, Unbound 160. 44 of the unbound are known Romney supporters.

11 states (489 delegates) have had their popular votes but not their state conventions.

--- 4 states (MO, MA, VA, IL) have chosen delegates in congressional district elections. Bound delegates: Paul 7, Romney 135, To Be Bound 25, Unbound 44. 33 of Romney’s delegates are Paul supporters.

--- 3 states (IA, WA, LA) are states where most delegates will be Paul supporters. Bound delegates: Paul 0, Romney 5, To Be Bound 40, Unbound 72.

--- 4 other states (ID, IN, NC, OR) are yet to have their state conventions but their delegates may be bound by the popular vote: Paul 9, Romney 113, Unbound 39.

8 states/district/territory (NH, OH, TN, AL, PR, DC, WI, CT) (298 delegates) used the slate election method. Bound delegates: Paul 3, Romney 130, Unbound 165. 38 unbound delegates (OH) support Romney. The remaining unbound delegates were slated to a fallen candidate, or are superdelegates.

3 states/territory (VI, RI, WV) (59 delegates) used the direct election method. Bound delegates: Paul 5, Romney 36, Unbound 18. 6 unbound delegates support Romney.

3 states (FL, HI, NY) (165 delegates) decide by committee based on the popular vote. Bound delegates: Paul 3, Romney 151, Unbound 11.

1 state (PA) (72 delegates) has held direct elections of 59 delegates and choose the rest by committee. Results are not fully known, but out of 39 known, Paul 5, Romney 26. All 72 are unbound.

10 states (NE, AR, KY, TX, CA, NJ, NM, SD, MT, UT) (610 delegates) have yet to have their popular votes. 563 of these are going to be bound.

===Table of Results / Projections===

There are reports from the ground that claim that Ron Paul has won, or is likely to win, considerably more delegates than the projections indicate. This table is an attempt to bring together these reports to give a more accurate picture of how many delegates Paul is winning or likely to win.

{| class="wikitable" style="font-size:12px;"
|- bgcolor="#e9e9e9"
! colspan="1" style="padding:4px;"|State
! colspan="5" style="padding:4px;"|RNC Delegates
! colspan="3" style="padding:4px;"|To Be Assigned Later
! colspan="1" style="padding:4px;"|Total Delegates
! colspan="1" style="padding:4px;"|State Convention
! colspan="1" style="padding:4px;"|Notes / Projections / References
|- bgcolor="#eeeeee"
! rowspan="2" style="width:100px;"|
! rowspan="2" style="width:50px;"| Paul
! rowspan="2" style="width:50px;"| Romney
! rowspan="2" style="width:50px;"| Santorum
! rowspan="2" style="width:50px;"| Gingrich
! rowspan="2" style="width:50px;"| Uncommitted
! rowspan="2" style="width:50px;"| State Convention To Decide
! rowspan="2" style="width:50px;"| Congressional District Caucus To Decide
! rowspan="2" style="width:50px;"| Automatic (RNC) Delegates
! rowspan="2" style="width:20px;"|
! rowspan="2" style="width:150px;"|
|- bgcolor="#eeeeee"
!
|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Iowa
| >13
|
|
|
|
| 13
| 12
| 3
| 28
| 16 June
| "RP will not get less than half" <ref>[http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/332617/20120424/ron-paul-2012-delegates-news-iowa-minnesota.htm Ron Paul 2012 Wins Iowa & Minnesota Delegates, Demonstrating Possible Path to White House]</ref><ref>[http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=347BJLhZkE4 Reality Check 5:32 "Those 13 slots are Ron Paul delegates"]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| New Hampshire
|bgcolor="pink"| 3
|bgcolor="pink"| 7
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 2
|
|
|
| 12
|bgcolor="pink"| Slate
| <ref>[http://www.sos.nh.gov/presprim2012/Delegates/2012%20Delegates%20&%20Alternates.pdf NH Delegates Names List]</ref> It is not clear whether these delegates are bound.

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| South Carolina
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 2
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 23
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|
|
|
| 25
|bgcolor="pink"| 19 May
| Winner-takes-all at the Congressional District level. Each congressional district delegate ... shall be bound during the first ballot .... However, if the candidate to which a delegate is bound falls below 30% of the vote on the first ballot, that delegate automatically is released before the second ballot<ref>[http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/SC-R South Carolina at The Green Papers]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Florida
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 50
| Committee Date TBD
| Dispute over whether delegates are to be assigned winner-takes-all or proportionally.

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Nevada
|bgcolor="pink"| 22
|bgcolor="pink"| 6
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|
|
|
| 28
|bgcolor="pink"| 5-6 May
| <ref>[http://www.bostonherald.com/news/us_politics/view/20120506ron_paul_wins_majority_of_delegates_from_maine_gop/ Ron Paul wins majority of delegates from Maine GOP]</ref><ref>[http://www.dailypaul.com/231333/breaking-the-patriots-of-nevada-deliver-ron-paul-delegates-win-25-of-28-seats-to-republican-national-convention Breaking! The Patriots of Nevada Deliver. Ron Paul delegates Win 25 of 28 Seats to Republican National Convention!]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Colorado
|bgcolor="pink"| 13
|bgcolor="pink"| 16
|bgcolor="pink"| 7
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|
|
|
| 36
|bgcolor="pink"| 14 April
| <ref>[http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/CO-R Green Papers Colorado]</ref> "13 unpledged delegates, including me, will vote for Ron Paul. 1 for Santorum." <ref>[http://communities.washingtontimes.com/neighborhood/reawakening-liberty/2012/apr/15/colorado-further-evidence-ron-paul-will-challenge-/ Colorado further evidence Ron Paul will challenge Romney in Tampa]</ref>

|- align="right"
| align="left"| Minnesota
|bgcolor="pink"| 33
|bgcolor="pink"| 2
|bgcolor="pink"| 2
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 3
|
|
|
| 40
|bgcolor="pink"| 18-19 May
| <ref>[http://www.dailypaul.com/230337/actual-delegate-count-at-mises-wiki "I'm a delegate from MN... 1 of our RNC delegates is a confirmed Dr. Paul supporter"]</ref><ref>[http://www.slate.com/blogs/weigel/2012/04/23/ron_paul_wins_minnesota_delegates_by_a_landslide.html Ron Paul Wins Minnesota Delegates by a Landslide]</ref><ref>[http://www.piercecountyherald.com/event/article/id/44707/ Rep. Paul supporters elected to half of Minnesota GOP convention delegation]</ref>No Delegate to the Republican National Convention shall be bound by party rules or by state law to cast his/her vote for a particular candidate on any ballot at the convention except that the state convention may bind the Delegates whom it elects to the National Convention of the Republican Party on the first ballot to vote for a candidate for the office of President of the United States, unless they be released by said candidate.<ref>[http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/MN-R Minnesota at The Green Papers]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Missouri
|bgcolor="pink"| 4
|bgcolor="pink"| 12
|bgcolor="pink"| 7
|bgcolor="pink"| 1
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
| 25
| 0
| 3
| 52
| 2 June
| "Paul took 20 of the 40 delegates awarded"<ref>[http://articles.businessinsider.com/2012-04-27/politics/31419425_1_romney-delegates-delegate-total-ron-paul Actually, Ron Paul Is Secretly Winning A Lot More Delegates Than You Think]</ref><ref>[http://www.mogop.org/2012/04/6241/ MOGOP releases unofficial results of the Congressional District Conventions]</ref>National Convention delegates are bound on the first ballot unless released by the candidate.<ref>[http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/MO-R Missouri at The Green Papers]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Maine
|bgcolor="pink"| 21
|bgcolor="pink"| 2
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 1
|
|
|
| 24
|bgcolor="pink"| 5-6 May
| <ref>[http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/ME-R Maine at The Green Papers]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Arizona
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 29
|bgcolor="pink"| 12 May
| Winner-takes-all at the Congressional District level. Each delegate to the national convention shall use his best efforts at the convention for the party's presidential nominee candidate who received the greatest number of votes in the presidential preference election ... until the candidate releases the delegate ... withdraws from the race or until one convention nominating ballot ....<ref>[http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/AZ-R Arizona at The Green Papers]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Michigan
|bgcolor="pink"| 8
|bgcolor="pink"| 22
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|
|
|
| 30
|bgcolor="pink"| 18-19 May
| Delegates are bound to their Presidential preference from the start of the nominating process through the end of the first ballot at the Republican National Convention. Delegates may not amend their Preference unless released from that commitment.<ref>[http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/MI-R Michigan at The Green Papers]</ref><ref>[http://www.marketwatch.com/story/ron-paul-decisively-wins-minnesota-and-carries-delegates-in-multiple-other-states-2012-05-20 Ron Paul Decisively Wins Minnesota and Carries Delegates in Multiple Other States]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Wyoming
|bgcolor="pink"| 1
|bgcolor="pink"| 22
|bgcolor="pink"| 2
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 4
|
|
|
| 29
|bgcolor="pink"| 12-14 April
| <ref>[http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/WY-R Wyoming at Green Papers]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Washington
| >21
|
|
|
|
| 10
| 30
| 3
| 43
| 30 May - 2 June
| "RP has locked up at least half"<ref>[http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/333906/20120426/ron-paul-2012-delegates-news-romney-convention.htm Ron Paul 2012 Wins Majority Of Washington Delegates To Convention, Other States Expected To Follow]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Alaska
|bgcolor="pink"| 6
|bgcolor="pink"| 8
|bgcolor="pink"| 8
|bgcolor="pink"| 2
|bgcolor="pink"| 3
|
|
|
| 27
|bgcolor="pink"| 26-28 April
| After the second round of balloting ... if the Candidate to which the Delegate is pledged is the candidate receiving the fewest number of votes ..., the Delegate is no longer required to support that candidate. If a ... delegate ... pledged to a ... Presidential Candidate who is no longer a candidate for the Republican Nomination for President as of the date of the National Convention, that delegate ... shall be deemed non-pledged.<ref>[http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/AK-R Alaska at The Green Papers]</ref><ref>[http://www.politico.com/blogs/charlie-mahtesian/2012/04/ron-pauls-alaska-payback-121953.html Ron Paul's Alaska payback] "A Paul supporter was voted in as the new GOP chairman Saturday at the state convention"</ref><ref>[http://www.kansascity.com/2012/04/30/3583855/ron-pauls-supporters-stir-up-alaska.html Ron Paul's supporters stir up Alaska GOP convention]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Georgia
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 21
|bgcolor="pink"| 3
|bgcolor="pink"| 52
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|
|
|
| 76
| 18-19 May
|

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Idaho
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 32
| 21-23 June
| Delegates shall be obliged on the first ballot to vote for the candidate who nominated them. Delegates committed to a withdrawn candidate become uncommitted.<ref>[http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/ID-R Idaho at The Green Papers]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Massachusetts
|bgcolor="pink"| 16 (*)
|bgcolor="pink"| 11
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
| 11 (**)
| 0
| 3
| 41
| 15 June
| "Less than half of Romney’s 27 chosen delegates won"<ref>[http://articles.boston.com/2012-04-30/metro/31478610_1_romney-slate-mitt-romney-massachusetts-governor State GOP’s caucus picks leave Romney slate slighted]</ref> 
'''*''' All delegates bound to Romney on 1st ballot. Reports indicate that 16 delegates support Paul, 10 support Romney, and 1 is unknown<ref>[http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/MA-R Massachussets at The Green Papers]</ref> 
'''**''' Selected by MA Republican State Committee

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| North Dakota
|bgcolor="pink"| 2
|bgcolor="pink"| 20
|bgcolor="pink"| 6
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|
|
|
| 28
|bgcolor="pink"| 1 April
| Apportionment on the first ballot shall be strictly voluntary. The delegates remain free to vote their conscience on all balloting.<ref>[http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/ND-R The Green Papers North Dakota Republican]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Ohio
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 38
|bgcolor="pink"| 25
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 3
|
|
|
| 66
|bgcolor="pink"| Slate
| These delegates are morally but not legally bound to any candidate.<ref>[http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/OH-R Ohio at The Green Papers]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Oklahoma
|
|
|
|
|
| 25
| 15
| 3
| 43
|bgcolor="pink"| 11-12 May
| Delegates are bound until released. If that candidate withdraws, delegates vote for any candidate of their choice.<ref>[http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/OK-R Oklahoma at The Green Papers]</ref> It is unclear who was chosen as delegates at the CDC on 14 April.<ref>[http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Swgk1iGL9Fc Video of Oklahoma District Convention]</ref>Who the 25 state convention delegates will represent will be determined later<ref>[http://newsok.com/oklahoma-republicans-elect-delegates-to-national-convention/article/3675104 Oklahoma Republicans elect delegates to national convention]</ref>Preliminary estimates are that Congressman Paul captured 95% of the Oklahoma delegates. This was an amazing feat and a political coup of epic proportions.<ref>[http://www.examiner.com/article/gop-establishment-makes-a-mockery-of-the-democratic-process-oklahoma GOP Establishment makes a mockery of the democratic process in Oklahoma]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Tennessee
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 17
|bgcolor="pink"| 29
|bgcolor="pink"| 9
|bgcolor="pink"| 3
|
|
|
| 58
|bgcolor="pink"| Slate
| At the National Convention, delegates are bound for at least 2 ballots.

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Vermont
|bgcolor="pink"| 2
|bgcolor="pink"| 12
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 3
|
|
|
| 17
|bgcolor="pink"| 19 May
| Delegates ... to the Republican National Convention shall be bound in the first ballot .... Delegates ... shall be released if their candidate is not placed into nomination ... or officially withdraws.<ref>[http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/VT-R Vermont at The Green Papers]</ref><ref>[http://www.dailypaul.com/234826/vermont-convention-live#comment-2480460 DP Comment]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Virginia
| >17
|
|
|
|
| 13
| 33
| 3
| 49
| 28 Apr-19 May (CDC) / 16 June (SC)
| "Stearns says Paul supporters have won 15 of the 24 congressional delegate spots decided in Virginia so far."<ref>[http://edition.cnn.com/2012/05/15/politics/ron-paul-plan/index.html Ron Paul backers' plan: Transform the GOP]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Kansas
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 40
|bgcolor="pink"| 28 April
| <ref>[http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/KS-R Kansas at The Green Papers]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Northern Mariana Islands
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 9
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|
|
|
| 9
|bgcolor="pink"| 10 March
| All of the Commonwealth's National Convention delegates attend the convention as unpledged delegates.<ref>[http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/MP-R Northern Mariana Islands at The Green Papers]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| US Virgin Islands
|bgcolor="pink"| 1
|bgcolor="pink"| 3
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 5
|
|
|
| 9
|bgcolor="pink"| Direct Election
| Candidates that declare as being pledged shall ... have promised, if elected, to vote for such declared candidate for the Republican nomination for President of the United States on the first ballot.<ref>http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/VI-R US Virgin Islands at The Green Papers]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Guam
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 9
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|
|
|
| 9
|bgcolor="pink"| 10 March
| <ref>[http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/GU-R Guam at The Green Papers] "With 207 of the 215 registered Republicans in Guam present, Romney won with a unanimous show of hands. While Guam's 9 delegates are technically unpledged they are all Romney supporters."</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Alabama
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 12
|bgcolor="pink"| 22
|bgcolor="pink"| 13
|bgcolor="pink"| 3
|
|
|
| 50
|bgcolor="pink"| Slate
|

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Hawaii
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 20
| Committee TBD
| Delegates bound on the first ballot.<ref>[http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/HI-R Hawaii at The Green Papers]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Mississippi
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 40
| 18-19 May
|

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| American Samoa
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 9
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|
|
|
| 9
|bgcolor="pink"| 13 March
| Delegates are unbound.<ref>[http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/AS-R American Samoa at The Green Papers]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Puerto Rico
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 20
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 3
|
|
|
| 23
|bgcolor="pink"| Slate
|

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Illinois
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 69
| 8-9 June
|

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Louisiana
| >17
|
|
|
|
| 46
|
|
| 46
| 2 June
| "Paul is guaranteed at least 17 of the 46 delegates to the convention" "111 of the 150 (74%) delegates and 61 of the 72(85%) alternates elected to the State Convention appear to be supporters of Ron Paul"<ref>[http://www.nola.com/politics/index.ssf/2012/04/ron_paul_supporters_dominate_l.html Ron Paul supporters dominate Louisiana's Republican presidential caucuses]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Maryland
|bgcolor="pink"| 1
|bgcolor="pink"| 36
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|
|
|
| 37
|bgcolor="pink"| 27-28 April
| All 37 delegates are bound to Romney for the first 2 ballots.<ref>[http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P12/MD-R Maryland at The Green Papers]</ref> Among them there is one Paul supporter.<ref>[http://www.ronpaulforums.com/showthread.php?375376-How-many-delegates-does-Ron-Paul-actually-have&p=4441217&viewfull=1#post4441217 Email from Collins Bailey]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| District of Columbia
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 16
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 3
|
|
|
| 19
|bgcolor="pink"| Slate
| 16 delegates are BOUND, the 3 RNC delegates are NOT BOUND

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Wisconsin
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 33
|bgcolor="pink"| 9
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|
|
|
| 42
|bgcolor="pink"| Slate
|

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Connecticut
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 25
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 3
|
|
|
| 28
|bgcolor="pink"| Slate
|

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Delaware
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 17
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|
|
|
| 17
|bgcolor="pink"| 28 April
|

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| New York
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 95
| 22-23 May
|

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Pennsylvania
|
|
|
|
|
| 10
| 59
| 3
| 72
| 10 June
| <ref>[http://articles.businessinsider.com/2012-04-27/politics/31419425_1_romney-delegates-delegate-total-ron-paul Actually, Ron Paul Is Secretly Winning A Lot More Delegates Than You Think]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Rhode Island
|bgcolor="pink"| 4
|bgcolor="pink"| 12
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 3
|
|
|
| 19
|bgcolor="pink"| Direct Election
| <ref>[http://articles.businessinsider.com/2012-04-27/politics/31419425_1_romney-delegates-delegate-total-ron-paul Actually, Ron Paul Is Secretly Winning A Lot More Delegates Than You Think]</ref>

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Indiana
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 46
| 9 June
|

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| North Carolina
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 55
| 3 June
|

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| West Virginia
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 24
|bgcolor="pink"| 2
|bgcolor="pink"| 0
|bgcolor="pink"| 5
|
|
|
| 31
|bgcolor="pink"| Direct Election
|

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Oregon
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 28
| 23 Jun
|

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Nebraska
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 35
| 14 July
|

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Arkansas
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 36
| 9 June (CDC) / 23 June
|

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Kentucky
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 45
| 9 June
|

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Texas
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 155
| 9 June
|

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| California
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 172
| Slate
|

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| New Jersey
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 50
| Direct Election
|

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| New Mexico
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 23
| 16 June
|

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| South Dakota
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 28
| Slate
|

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Montana
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 26
| 16 June
|

|- style="text-align:right;"
| align="left"| Utah
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 40
| 21 April
|

|}

Note: pink denotes a relatively high level of confidence in the projection, but even these are technically "unpledged" in many cases.

==Popular Vote==

As of 16 May, Romney leads with 44.5%, followed by Santorum (25.1%), Gingrich (17.7%), and Paul (10.9%). There have been allegations of election fraud and voter fraud.

===Algorithmic Vote Flipping===

There is evidence that some vote counts were flipped to manipulate the results of the popular votes. The manipulation is all in favor of Romney, and mostly at the expense of Paul.

[https://docs.google.com/file/d/0ByJAC-sfXwumZzI2bVlON2VTMnFyYVZZSnpDYnNyQQ/edit?pli=1 Evidence of Algorithmic Vote Flipping in GOP Primary Elections]

==References==

<references/>

[[Category:Issues]]